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Sunday afternoon football in Spain, as Levante hosts Atletico Madrid in the 36th round of the La Liga.
Levante lost 3-0 in San Sebastian last round vs. Real Sociedad … a bad performance from Levante that forces them to keep fighting to avoid relegation. They are virtually saved, having 4 points over Deportivo, 1 game in hand and 2 teams between them and the red zone … but still they will try to get a point today vs. Atletico and wrap up the job. Unfortunately for the hosts they won’t have Casadesus and Simao, both suspended and also Pape Diop is ruled out of the lineup because of injury … but Levante can draw confidence from the fact that they did not lose at home vs. Atletico since 2007 and even won 3 of the last 4 meetings on home soil.
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Atletico Madrid will book the third place with a win today … so expect Diego Simeone to go for the kill and try to get a win in any possible way. He knows that winning away vs Levante is not a very easy task, but Atletico is in good form with only 1 defeat since February (to Real Madrid) and winning 7 of the last 9 possible points. Last round they finished 0-0 with Athletic Bilbao. Diego Godin is suspended for Atleti … but otherwise visitors can field their best lineup.
A win by 1 goal for Atletico seems the common sense scenario here and for sure this bet has the best value in the odds. Levante is a tough side and will not go down without a fight, but Atletico wants to book that third place and I am sure Simeone will make sure his side gets a win in any way possible. Expect a hard fought football match with Atletico getting in front at some point and then protecting that advantage. My tip will be a draw on the -1 european hc. market (Atletico to win by 1). Correct score prediction: Levante – Atletico Madrid 0-1.
Pick: -1 EH Draw (Atletico win by 1 goal)
Odds: 3.40 @ Bet365
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 14.4
Event date: 10 May
