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PSG is the clear cut favorite in this tie but Leverkusen will hope to at least get a result at home in order to make the reverse leg interesting. Can they do it? Let`s get going with the analysis.
Bayer is doing well in Bundesliga, sitting on the 2nd place with 1 point in front of Dortmund. But the Germans are not in good form at all: from the last 7 competitive games, they lost 5, including the last two – vs. Kaiserslautern, 0-1 extra time, and vs. Schalke, 1-2. Leverkusen did get two big wins against Stuttgart and Monchengladback in early January but they lost the other 3 games played in 2014 so the team is in some trouble right now. For this game Bayer also has some squad problems: Can, Ryu, Kruse and Derdiyok are unavailable and Reinartz and Spahic are questionable.
Leverkusen lineup: Leno – Hilbert, Boenisch, Spahic, Wollscheid – Rolfes, Bender, Helger – Castro, Kiessling, Son
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PSG is spending crazy amounts of money for their dream to win the Champions League and they further strengthened the squad in the winter with the addition of Cabaye from Newcastle. The french side just won 3-0 against Valenciennes and seems to be in top form at the moment, winning 3 of the last 4 games and drawing on the road at Monaco. PSG does not have new injury worries aside for the usual trio of Cavani, Jallet and Camara who are all unavailable.
PSG lineup: Sirigu – Maxwell, Alex, Silva, Van der Wiel – Matuidi, Motta – Pastore, Verratti, Moura – Ibrahimovic
Leverkusen is a strong team at home but with their recent form it seems that even home court can’t save them – losing to Kaiserslautern and Schalke in the last two matches at BayArena. Also they lost 0-5 to Manchester United at home earlier in the UCL so they are beatable for sure. I reckon PSG to win is the best bet for this game according to my analysis. They are the better team, in better form and Champions League is their main objective in this season. Leverkusen will be fully focused as well and it should be close, but my advice is to pick PSG to win. The french side has scored in all but one game this season and they are expected to score at least one time today, while Leverkusen might not have the strength and confidence to create too much danger up front. Correct score prediction for this tip would be Bayer Leverkusen – Paris Saint Germain 0-2 or 1-2.
Pick: PSG
Odds: 2.25 @ Winner
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 8.75
Event date: 18 February
