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Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool will square off against Augsburg in the Europa League round of Last 16 second leg, after the two sides settled for a 0-0 draw in Germany.
Liverpool continues to be very inconsistent and rather disappointing under Jurgen Klopp. The hosts have just one win in the last six games, a 6-0 victory over Aston Villa two weeks ago. In the first leg against Augsburg, Liverpool was the better team, but again not having that killer instinct and in the end the 0-0 result was somewhat fair. Liverpool has not played since the first leg against Augsburg last week and is expected to field a strong lineup, even though the hosts are set to play the League Cup final against Manchester City on Sunday.
Augsburg entered the first leg riding a run of 5 matches without victory, but the result seemingly gave them confidence, as they went on to claim an important 1-0 road win over Hannover in the weekend. The visitors are having a very poor season domestically, sitting on the 13th place in the Bundesliga, but they remain a side that has the ability to spring surprises.
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Team news & lineups:
Liverpool will most likely field a strong lineup, but Allen, Ings, Lallana, Gomez, Lovren Brannagan and Stewart are out, while Skrtel and Benteke are doubtful. Augsburg will also use the best team, but they are strugglign with long term injuries as well, missing no less than 8 players ahead of this clash. Feulner and Bobadilla are the only new absentees for Augsburg.
Liverpool: Mignolet – Clyne, Toure, Sakho, Moreno – Can, Henderson, Milner – Firmino, Coutinho, Sturridge
Augsburg: Hitz – Verhaegh, Janker, Klavan, Stafylidis – Koo, Kohr – Esswein, Altintop, Werner – Caiuby
I really like Augsburg to qualify here, as a value bet. There`s no secret that everybody is all over Liverpool, as they are the big favorites of the day, have the quality advantage and because Klopp cares about the Europa League. However, it would not be the first time this season when Liverpool blows a European game in similar circumstances. And with the League Cup final in just a few days, Klopp might end up surprising people and sending a weaker lineup. Liverpool’s main objective right now is clearly to win the League Cup.
The hosts are obviously the favorites here, but Augsburg is a solid side with good counterattacking ability and can punish a team that is still far away from being trustworthy. 0-0 away is not a great result by any means and Liverpool will become very vulnerable if they concede a goal in this second leg. The odds have gone ridiculously low on the hosts, so my tip is Augsburg to qualify. Low stakes of course, as this is more of a value bet. Prediction: Liverpool – Augsburg 1-1.
Pick: Augsburg to qualify
Odds: 3.32 @ Sbobet
Stake: 3
Possible profit: 6.96
Event date: 25 February
