Mainz – Werder Bremen

Mainz will be happy to finally have an accessible game at home against Werder Bremen, after the hosts faced some very difficult opposition lately in the German Bundesliga.

After an excellent start, Mainz found themselves losing 3 of the last 4 matches and dropping to the 12th place in the table. Unfortunately for the hosts, the recent schedule was not kind to them and it was not a surprise that they lost against Bayern, Leverkusen and Dortmund – winning the only accessible game against Darmstadt. However, failing to score a single goal in the three losses will surely be a reason of questions for Martin Schmidt’s side.

Werder Bremen is on a 5 match losing streak in Bundesliga, coming off a 0-1 home loss to Bayern Munich – which was actually their best performance in a long time, even if Bayern was focusing more on the Champions League. Werder did not score a single goal in the last three Bundesliga outings, their last goal was four rounds ago in a 2-1 loss against Darmstadt – a Darmstadt side that proceeded to lose at home to Mainz two rounds later.

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Team news & lineups:

Sereno, Soto, Frei, Cordoba, Zimling and Clemens are out for Mainz, while Werder Bremen will not have Jóhannsson, Yildirim and Wolf in the lineup.

FSV Mainz 05: Karius – Jara, Bungert, Bell, Bengtsson – Baumgartlinger, Latza – Jairo, Malli, de Blasis – Muto

Werder Bremen: Wiedeald – Gebre Selassie, Lukimya, Gakvez, S. Garcia – Vestergaard – Bartels, Fritz, Bargfrede, Junuzovic – Ujah

If the recent record of Mainz can be easily explained due to difficult opposition, as they only lost to absolute top sides, Werder Bremen is simply playing poorly. Mainz is the kind of team that plays disciplined, organized football, so this season it appears that they can`t really trouble the big boys, as they don`t have that brilliant edge to produce upsets. However, they did the job without hesitation against weaker sides.

Mainz is looking at this game as the opportunity to get back on track and I reckon they have every chance of recording a victory against the out of sorts Werder Bremen. The matchup is brilliant for Mainz – a hard working, tactically sound team against an opponent that plays reckless football, isn`t able to defend properly and has low morale. I always relish these kinds of matchups, so my tip is Mainz to win with a -0,25 asian handicap.

Look for a clever diplay from the home side. Prediction: FSV Mainz – Werder Bremen 2-0.

Pick: Mainz (-0,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.85 @ 1xBet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 5.95
Event date: 24 October