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Malaga hosts Almeria in the first Primera Division round from 2015, the 17th round overall.
Malaga ended 2014 on a roll with 4 consecutive wins … 3 of them in Primera Division … and are now sitting on the 7th place with real hopes of playing European Football next campaign. Malaga relies on a very well organized defense and they are very solid at home … 5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. They dropped points at home vs. Real Madrid, Barcelona and Levante. The hosts are thus looking very good, but unfortunately they have problems with injuries today: Ferreira, Chen, Juanmi, Sanchez and Weligton are out, Tissone is questionable. Duda returns.
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Almeria is on the 16th place, out of the relegation zone, but they are tied with the 18th place so would love to get a point today. All of Almeria’s success is based on their impressive away performances, where they won 3 of the 8 games they played … pretty remarkable. Visitors ended 2014 with two wins and will try to take advantage of Malaga’s injury problems, probably Almeria will try to play the 0-0 draw considering that they are unable to score too many goals. Visitors only have Martinez and Macedo unavailable … but also Soriano is questionable.
Normally Malaga will win this game but they might have some problems because of the injuries they have and because Almeria is in good form. I expect Malaga to play a careful possesion game, trying not to concede and patiently waiting to find spaces to get a winning goal over the 90 minutes. I can see them completing their objective, at home they are just too strong for Almeria and only allowed 4 goals so far at home (2 from Real). My tip will be Malaga to win to nil. I will stake a reasonable 7 units on this bet. Correct score prediction: Malaga – Almeria 1-0.
Pick: Malaga to win to nil
Odds: 2.40 @ Bet365
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 9.8
Event date: 3 January
