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Even though just 3 matches ago they lost 7-0 to Atletico Madrid, Getafe can climb up to the european zone if they beat Malaga. But the hosts are involved in the relegation battle and would love a win of their own today.
Malaga (15th place) was good in the first part of the season but the last results did not go their way. Just 1 win in the previous 9 matches in La Liga, just 1 point in the last 3, also drawing in the cup with Osasuna at home. For this match Malaga will only miss Casado for sure, but Ferreira and El Hamdaoui are also questionable and will probably might play. Malaga will probably start with the following lineup:
Malaga lineup: Caballero – Gamez, Angeleri, Weligton, Antunes – Camacho – Portillo – Darder, Tissone, Eliseu – Cruz
Getafe with a great season so far, they are on 7th place, tied with the 6th place. But they lost humiliating 7-0 in Madrid against Atletico three games ago and are not in the best form: Getafe only got a late and narrow 1-0 win against Levante (home) in the last 5 matches they played. The last outing was a 1-1 draw with Girona in the cup (away). Borja and Escuder, both suspended, will not play for Getafe today.
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Getafe lineup: Moya – Valera, Rafa, Alexis, Lago – Michel, Mosquera – Leon, Sarabia, Castro – Colunga
Malaga has not lost to Getafe in the last 8 matches played in all competitions. Malaga has 3 wins and 4 losses at home. Getafe has the same 3-0-4 statistics when playing on the road. Despite this, I think this will end up a draw.
Getafe is for sure the better of the two teams this year but they are not playing too good at the moment and Malaga has home court advantage. The encounter looks very balanced and the odds of 2.00 for Malaga do not seem to be justified. Even though Malaga at home and Getafe away have not recorded any draws so far in La Liga, both teams have been prone to tied games recently. The hosts have 3 draws in their last 6 matches (and 2 consecutive draws), while Getafe has 2 draws in the last 5 games. Both sides are coming of undecided games in the Cup, Malaga 3-3 at home with Osasuna, Getafe 1-1 away at Girona. I reckon without the fear of mistaking that the “X” sign is the most possible result here and for sure the odds do not reflect that, so it is worth a decent investment. I will try a medium stake on a tie game, and with just a little bit of luck we should see a nice return of profit. My pick would be Malaga – Getafe 1-1. Medium stakes.
Pick: X
Odds: 3.55 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 12.75
Event date: 14 December
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 1 for 3 in his December picks
