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Malaga hosts Levante in the first leg of this Copa Del Rey Round 16 tie.
Malaga’s 1-2 home loss with Almeria ended a run of 4 consecutive wins for the hosts … Malaga deserved to win that game having many more chances, but in the end Almeria was more clinical. Hosts will look to bounce back now with a win vs. a team that is struggling a lot this season and especially in recent weeks. Malaga is in great form and playing very strong football at home, so even if they miss 4-5 players due to injuries they are clear favorites to win. Ochoa will probably start in goal and maybe the coach will make 2 or 3 additional changes in the lineup.
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Levante lost 1-3 away from home to Atletico Madrid in the weekend … first defeat after 5 draws, but also the 7th consecutive game in which Levante failed to win. Visitors have big problems scoring goals and their defense is not so good either after they sold players like Keylor Navas in the summer. To get to this round Levante got past Albacete last round … but they didn’t win against the last placed team in Segunda Division … there were two draws, 1-1 and 0-0.
Clearly Levante is having big problems at the moment, they are playing poor football and for sure their focus is more on the crucial relegation clash vs. Deportivo … a match that comes in just 3 days on Friday. They will probably give a rest to a couple of regular players from the lineup. Malaga will probably do the same, but they are the better team and have more depth. A beast at home, I see Malaga easily getting the win … really not likely that they will fail to win at home two times in a row vs. below-par teams. My tip will be Malaga to win and cover the 1 goal asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Malaga – Levante 2-0.
Pick: Malaga (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.11 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.88
Event date: 6 January
