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Friday night football in Primera Division, as Malaga and Sporting Gijon will open up the 29th round of the Spanish La Liga.
Malaga failed to win any of their last 5 matches, but the team did not play poor football. Malaga had a difficuld draw, losing tight matches with Villarreal and Valencia but also drawing with Real Madrid, Real Sociedad and most recently with Deportivo – 3-3 on the road in the last round. The hosts are sitting on the 12th place, safe from relegation but without any chances to play in Europe next season, so they don`t have much left to fight for.
Gijon will definitely be the more motivated side coming into this match, as the visitors are second to last in La Liga, 2 points behind safety. Gijon lost three consecutive matches and hasn’t won a game in the last 7 outings. Defense has been a big problem lately for this team, who conceded an average of over 2 goals per game in these last 7 matches. Gijon is on the back of a 0-2 home defeat against Athletic Bilbao.
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Team news & lineups:
Cop, Santa Cruz, Kameni and Camacho will not be in Malaga’s lineup. Gijon will have to do without the serices of Cases, Vranjes, Bernardo and possibly Rachid.
Malaga: Ochoa – Rosales, Weligton, Albentosa, Torres – Juanpi, Recio, Fornals, Castro – Uche, Charles
Sporting Gijon: Cuellar – Lora, Hernandez, Mere, Canella – Alvarez, Mascarell – Ndi, Halilovic, Jony – Sanabria
Malaga’s odds might not seem too high at about 1.55, but I feel there’s actually some value to be taken here. Malaga’s recent results are misleading, as they had a nightmare schedule and played pretty well.
Generally a defensive team, Malaga has been in good goalscoring form recently and should be able to exploit Gijon’s weaknesses in defense, banging in a couple of goals. On the other hand Malaga has been surprisingly leaky at the back recently. I reckon they worked in training to improve this, especially after last week’s 3-3 draw with Deportivo. I can see them reverting back to their solid defending, not allowing Gijon many opportunities.
I will place a simple bet here, with reasonable stakes: my tip is Malaga to win. Even if Sporing Gijon has much more to fight for, I`m sure Malaga will be eager to claim a victory after 5 winless games and they have a very good chance of doing it at home against an inferior opponent. Prediction: Malaga – Sporting Gijon 2-0.
Pick: Malaga
Odds: 1.59 @ 1xBet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 4.13
Event date: 11 March
