
The first match to be played in the Primera Division’s 11th round will see Malaga hosting relegation battlers Sporting Gijon at El Rosaleda.
Malaga is having a mediocre season so far, sitting on the 11th place, a position below their expectations. They are on the back of a 2-4 loss away at Atletico Madrid. However, as always, Malaga’s stats at home are impressive. The hosts have always been strong on their home court and this season makes no exception, with Malaga winning 3 out of 5 home matches and only losing to Villarreal. What’s more, all of Malaga’s 3 home wins came in the last 3 games.
Gijon definitely looks like a team that will have to fight to stay up in La Liga this season. The visitors are currently on the 18th place with just 9 points in 10 rounds and their form has been abysmal over the last month or so – Gijon has 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 7 matches (!!). On the bright side, the 2 draws came in the last two rounds, so that might be a small sign of improvement – especially the 1-1 at home against Sevilla in the previous round.
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Malaga struggles with injuries, as Weligton, Charles, Keko and Recio are out, while Torres, Llorente and Kuzmanovic are doubtful. What’s more, they will also miss Castro (suspended). Sporting Gijon will have to do without Xavi Torres, while Babin is questionable.
Malaga: Kameni – Rosales, Kone, Llorente, Ricca – Fornals, Camacho – Jony, Juanpi, Juankar – Ramirez
Gijon: Cuellar – Lillo, Mere, Amorebieta, Canella – Gomez, Cases, Alvarez, Lopez – Cop, Rodriguez
Malaga is in excellent form at home, they are always strong at La Rosaleda and the team is actually in pretty good overall form as well. In the last 4 matches, Malaga won twice at home, drew away at Alaves and played decent last round at Vicente Calderon in the 2-4 loss to Atletico Madrid.
Gijon on the other hand is in dreadful form right now and they have been really poor away from home this season with 2 draws and 3 losses, 2-9 goal difference. They haven`t won away from home in the last 12 Primera Division matches. I think these home and away stats for Malaga and Gijon will have an important impact on the game.
Knowing this Malaga side, this is the type of match they should win by 1 or 2 goals and their form, as well as Gijon’s poor form, make me think there will be no upsets here. Yes, Malaga is missing a lot of players but they are used to it and have always been able to overcome this problem at home. My tip is Malaga to win. Prediction: Malaga – Sporting Gijon 1-0.
Pick: Malaga
Odds: 1.77 @ Jetbull
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 5.39
Event date: 4 November
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