Malmo – Eskilstuna

League leaders and reigning champions Malmo FF will host last placed AFC Eskilstuna in the 13th round of the Swedish Allsvenskan.

Malmo is currently tied with Norrkoping for the first place, but they do have one game in hand and are looking good value to win their 4th title in 5 years – which is no less than Malmo expects considering the all star roster they own. The hosts are on the back of two consecutive wins and have lost just one time this season. As always, they have been very strong at home, winning 4 of their 5 matches at Swedbank Stadium.

AFC Eskilstuna will come into this match with a new manager, after the Allsvenskan newcomers had a horrendous start to the season. The visitors are dead last in the standings and have not won a single game all year, claiming just 4 points in 12 matches. They are on a two match losing streak, leaking goals all over their place, and as such fired their manager – brining in ex-Burnley Under 23 coach Michael Jolley in an attempt to steady the ship.

Bet on Malmo vs Eskilstuna and claim your 100% (100 Eur) freebet at Ohmbet now!

Team news: Malmo will miss Berget, Sarfo and Cavalho, while Bengtsson, Konate and Hadzikadunic are questionable. As for Eskilstuna they will miss the duo of Piermayr and Turay Buya (both suspended). They might also miss Haghighi, Michel, Ulimwengu and Jarl (all doubtful).

Eskilstuna might look better under a new manager, though that is always an unknown factor – it can work both ways. However, even an improved version of Eskilstuna shouldn`t be enough to trouble Malmo.

The difference in quality here is massive, and aside for Eskilstuna’s managerial change, there aren`t many signs of an upset.

Malmo is in good form, playing at home, and will be hungry to maintain the first place, as well as gaining as many points as possible before the Champions League qualifiers start – as they always lost steam in the league when playing in Europe.

Eskilstuna will obviously approach this game in a defensive manner, hoping to frustrate Malmo, but they are allowing more than 2 goals per game in average, can`t defend to save their lives and won a single point on the road all season.

With such a leaky defense, the underdog doesn`t stand much of a chance to close the game down and keep it close. I reckon Malmo will find enough spaces over the course of the 90 minutes and bang in 2 or 3 goals without conceding.

My tip here is Malmo to win and cover a 1,5 goal handicap. It`s a relatively simple bet, but my analysis suggests that chances of an upset are pretty low. Malmo are generally trustworthy at home and odds are Ok, so I will stake 8 units on this bet. Prediction: Malmo – Eskilstuna 2-0.

Pick: Malmo -1,5
Odds: 1.57 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.56
Event date: 1 July