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The Denver Nuggets will look to take control of the series in Game 4 of the NBA Finals, after winning a couple of days ago on Miami’s home floor in order to go up 2-1.
It’s pretty clear that the Nuggets are the better team in this matchup, as highlighted by the fact that they were the No.1 seed in the West, while Miami was an 8th seed in the East. The Heat managed to put together a miraculous run to reach the Finals and even posted a big upset in Game 2 in Denver, but I think the end of the road is getting closer and closer for them.
The Nuggets were completely dominant in Game 3 and I think this is what we can expect in Games 4 and 5 as well, given the fact that on Thursday the Heat finally slowed down from three point range, shooting 31.4%, close to their season average of 34%, as opposed to Game 2, which they won by shooting an incredible 49% from three – something unsustainable for one of the worst three point shooting teams in the league.
Meanwhile, Denver have been the superior team so far despite shooting poorly from deep. As opposed to Miami, they are one of the better three point shooting teams in the league. You would expect the law of averages to kick in soon.
Listen, the Heat are one of the most resilient teams in recent times and they always respond when their backs are against the wall, but the problem this time is that Denver has the same heart and grit – but they are also more talented, they have size, they have shooting, and they have arguably the best player in the game in Nikola Jokic.
The Heat have also lost their last three home games, so the Kaseya Center hasn’t exactly been a fortress recently.
I think Denver wins Game 4 and gets closer to what I predicted before the series (Denver in 4 or 5). I think they go on to win this series 4-1. Prediction: Miami Heat – Denver Nuggets 98 – 106.
Pick: Nuggets
Odds: 1.65 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.20
Event date: 10 June
