Monaco – Caen

Monaco hosts Caen in the 14th round of the French Ligue 1.

Monaco after losing a lot of key players in the off season does not look like a threat in Ligue 1 anymore … only 9th place, coming after 2 draws (vs. Reims and St. Etienne). In all competitions Monaco has only a single win in the last 5 matches and only 2 wins in the last 9 matches. Of course the hosts are still a decent team and better than most Ligue 1 sides but are struggling in France and now the priority is Champions League where they have chances to qualify with a little bit of luck. At home Monaco won only 2 of 6 matches this season in France. Bakayoko, Kurzawa, Lopez and Raggi are unavailable for the home team.

Bet on Monaco – Caen with the best Ligue 1 odds at Ladbrokes.

Caen lost the previous two matches in the league … and with only 12 points in 13 matches they are in big problems with relegation. A point today would be gold for Caen and they can take some confidence from the fact that they played excellent football on the road … 2 wins, 3 draws and only 2 defeats (not losing any game by more than 1 goal away). But most of the results were achieved early in the season and at the moment Caen is in poor form. Seube, Appiah, Kind and Saez (doubtful) are the injury problems for Caen today.

Monaco is a 1.60 odds favorite today but I do not think they will have an easy time. They are poor in Ligue 1 this season and very important, they have a crucial Champions League game coming up … and Champions League is their focus now. Caen is not in the best form but is desperate for points, plays good football away from home so I think they will escape with a point today. Worst case scenario in my opinion is a 1 goal win for Monaco, so I tip Caen to cover the +1 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Monaco – Caen 1-1.

Pick: Caen (+1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.77 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.16
Event date: 22 November