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Georgia will feel confident of their chances to make history by claiming two wins in a Rugby World Cup for the first time ever, while Namibia will try to build on the impressive performances they put on so far and maybe get a defensive bonus point – or at least score one or two tries.
Namibia was very close to claiming its first ever point in a World Cup when they lost 35-21 to Tonga in their last match. It was a good offensive performance from the Africans, who scored 3 tries, even though it has to be said that Tonga was horrible. Namibia also played well in the other RWC2015 game they played, against New Zealand, limiting the score to a decent 14-58. Captain Jacques Burger has really been instrumental for his team, but despite obvious improvement, Naimibia is still very naive at times, leaking a lot of points.
Georgia played 3 matches in this tournament so far and was truly excellent with the exception of a nighmare second half against Argentina (9-54 result, 0-40 in the 2nd half). It seems to have been an accident, facilitated by Argentina playing great, poor refereeing and Goergia tiring towards the end. Except for that half, the defending, the set plays and the scrum were simply brilliant for the emerging European team.
“The Lelos” are on the back of a solid display against a first string New Zealand lineup, losing 10-43. They will aim for their second world Cup win here, after upsetting Tonga 17-10 in their 2015 Rugby World Cup opener.
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Team News & lineups:
Georgia will make 10 changes to the lineup that took on New Zealand, while Namibia will make 6 changes compared to their last match.
Namibia: 15 Chrysander Botha, 14 David Philander, 13 Danie Van Wyk, 12 Darryl de la Harpe, 11 Russel van Wyk, 10 Theuns Kotze, 9 Eugene Jantjies, 8 Renaldo Bothma, 7 Tinus du Plessis, 6 Jacques Burger (c), 5 Tjiuee Uanivi, 4 PJ van Lill, 3 Raoul Larson, 2 Torsten Van Jaarsveld, 1 Johnny Redelinghuys.
Georgia: 15 Merab Kvirikashvili, 14 Tamaz Mchedlidze, 13 Davit Kacharava, 12 Merab Sharikadze, 11 Alexander Todua, 10 Lasha Malaguradze, 9 Vasil Lobzhanidze, 8 Mamuka Gorgodze (c), 7 Viktor Kolelishvili, 6 Giorgi Tkhilaishvili, 5 Konstantin Mikautadze, 4 Giorgi Nemsadze, 3 Davit Zirakashvili, 2 Jaba Bregvadze, 1 Mikheil Nariashvili.
The handicap line is not that high here at about 14 points and the always underrated Georgia should cover it. They will aim for a bonus point win in order to end the World Cup on a high, finish 3rd in the group and surely have the tools and quality to achieve it. Playing just 5 days after the game against New Zealand will be a downside for Georgia, but I think it will only prevent them to cover an even bigger handicap. The 10 lineup changes will also work well against fatigue. Tonga was handicapped at 20 points by the bookies against Namibia and Georgia has been a much better team than Tonga in these last couple of weeks, so I think the line should be similar today – but it`s much lower..
Expect “The Lelo” to put on a strong performance in their last match of the tournament and dominate the set plays and with the scrum. Namibia will provide Georgia with a fight, but they are too naive at the back, leaking too many points and the Lelo will surely punish them. Namibia will also not have the change to go on the break as often as they did in the first two matches, as Georgia’s tight defense will make it harder for them to score. My tip is Georgia to win with a 13,5 point handicap. Prediction: Namibia – Georgia 10 – 28.
Pick: Georgia -13,5
Odds: 1.90 @ Betsson
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.20
Event date: 7 October
photo by planet rugby
