New Zealand W – USA W

New Zealand USA Women Rugby World Cup preview

New Zealand will meet USA in the 2017 Women’s Rugby Union World Cup semifinals.

New Zealand has been hands downs the best team in this tournament, as it was widely expected. The Black Ferns have won their three group games in dominant fashion against Wales (44-12), Hong Kong (121-0) and against the 2014 World Cup finalists Canada (48-5), scoring no less than 35 tries in the process. New Zealand showcased some brilliant running rugby and handling, much like the men’s team, and will be confident coming into this semifinal.

USA achieved qualification to this stage as the best second placed team in the group stages. The Americans were pretty highly rated coming into WRWC 2017, but they weren`t particularly impressive in their matches so far. USA had a tough game against Italy (24-12) before defeating Spain 43-0, setting down a showdown for the first place in the group against England. USA was obliterated in that game, as they lost by 21 points, but they trailed 7-47 at one point and only made it closer due to England relaxing late.

Bet on New Zealand W v USA W and claim a 100% (100 Eur) bonus at Ohmbet now!

New Zealand has destroyed the competition so far, including a Canada team which has a higher ranking and is arguably better than USA. There is no real reason to expect much from the United States here, especially looking at how easily they were dismantled by England before that late rally in garbage time which allowed them to lose by just 21.

The quality difference is obviously massive here, but one more thing that could work against USA is the fact that they incorporated many 7`s players in this team, so the chemistry is not the best. This could be seen in the group stages when they made some silly mistakes and handling errors. Against a perfectly oiled machine like New Zealand, this apparent lack of chemistry could be fatal.

Look for New Zealand to dominate from the outset and create line breaking opportunities against an inferior team which is not perfectly glued together. Expect a ton of offloads and change of directions under a fast pace, wrong footing the opposition. There should be plenty of runs and tries coming after such situations for NZ.

The 23,5 point spread doesn`t seem to be accurately set here, it seems like a bit of a mistake due to the competition not being that popular. Obviously previous matches don`t impact future ones, but you have to consider England beat USA by 21 without trying too much in the second half, leading by 40 at one point – and New Zealand is a better side than England.

I reckon the line should probably be a bit below 30 points, and a bet on the Black Ferns to cover might represent a very good opportunity. I can see them winning this by 30+.

My tip is New Zealand to cover the 23,5 handicap. Prediction: New Zealand W – USA W 44 – 11.

Pick: New Zealand -23,5
Odds: 1.89 @ 10Bet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.12
Event date: 22 August

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

19 comments

  1. Hey man and i want to ask you something if you have a little time.I dont really know all the terms in boxing but the fight bettween mayweather andd mcgregor has some intresting odds. For example floyd have odds 1,29 at victory
    at victory floyd KO , TKO or disqualifed the odds are 1.72 and at victory floyd by unanimous decision the odds are 4,00
    ok so far so good my question is if i bet for example 100 on that odd 1,72 and 100 on that odd 4,00 is it possible that if floyd wins i can lose both that odds. ?
    i hope you get my point
    thanks

    • i mean it s more valuable to bet so instead 200 on that odds 1,29. because if floyd win by unanimous decision you get that odd 4,00.is it possible that that odds 1,29 can be a winner at that other two odds to be a loser, because i really don t now

  2. by the way the bookmarker i am talking is 1xbet

  3. He can win by split decision (not all 3 refs give him the win)

    • I`m pretty sure that`s the only way you could lose both. It`s common in boxing, but virtually impossible in this match. Problem is you never know with boxing officials.

    • i see . the odds for split decision are 21. is there other way?

  4. what is technical ko?

    • When the referee stops the fight because someone is taking too much punishment, even if that boxer is still on his feet. Let me think a bit about the other question, I`m pretty sure there is no other way but I want to be certain

    • Ok, so about the other question, there could be two other situations.
       
      1. Retirement (boxer quits or medic stops him between rounds)
       
      2. Technical decision (ref has to stop the fight because of injury sustained due to an accidental event. ex: headbutt)
       
      Normally Retirement falls under the Disqualification category, or at the very worst the bet should be void. 1x bet says in the rules “Disqualification or refusal”, so I think if retirement occurs, it will fall under DQ … but I can`t be 100% sure.
       
      In case of a TD, the outcome is settled by how the judges scored the fight until that point. I see 1xBet has a bet “Mayweather by points or Technical decision” at odds 3.74. That should include unanimous decision, split decision and technical decision

  5. wow. so many ways. The things is that i really don t now to much about boxing but seeing this match is like you put the best rugby team to play against the best american football team under rugby rules and you actually give some atractive odds for the rugby team.In these case Mayweather is the rugby team. I don t now if these is the best comparision to make but i ask my self : where the hell am I ? Are the people going mad ? Is these earth? Of course there are many surprizes in sport but these time we are talking about about an undefeated guy in boxing. Corect me if i wrong. Thank you for taking time and clear that for me and now i ask you what do you thin is the more valuable bet in that 1xbet offer . The method of winning for Floyd

    • You are not wrong. Yes, people are going mad and they are naive. I think it might be the best value bet of all time. In my opinion Mayweather shouldn`t even have odds, or at best 1.01. He can only lose if he breaks both hands (one is not enough), if the match is fixed or if McGregor lands a punch which has about 1 in a million chances to happen. Like you said anything can happen in sport, but to suggest McGregor has a 30% chance of winning is insane. He has a 1% chance at best, more like 0,1%.
       
      Normally Mayweather should KO him, or beat him up so bad that he won`t be able to continue (KO, TKO or DQ at 1.72). But it`s hard to say given the fact that this is a circus. Maybe they want to make it interesting and go 12 rounds in order to get money from a rematch. I will have to think about it in the next days, but right now I`d say the best bet is Mayweather to win straight up … I mean we don`t want to end up losing money like idiots when we know who will win.
       
      In terms of what you said before, I did some math and you`re actually better off betting on the 1.29 straight win than on those other choices combined.
       
      Example (200 stake):
       
      200 x 1.29 = 258 = 58 profit
       
      137 x 1.72 = 235
      63 x 3.74 = 235
      (so only 35 profit)

  6. i also see that mayweather win by disqualification has odds 9. I think is a possibilty that during the match conot may become frustrated and angry and make something stupid.he is a temperamental guy.I don t now maybe he lose hes temper and lands a leg in maywethers head

    • after all it s like you said a circus

    • Yep, disqualification is a real possibility. Not a leg in the head though, as there are clauses in the contract which would make him pay huge amounts of money if he does MMA moves on Floyd.

  7. just talking to someone i now.He actually put some serious money on connor . I see the opening odds for connor were around 7 now they are 3,8. This kind of thing only show me how idiots people can be. The gambling industry is the most profitable bussnies in these days. I just think to make something mad and lone a huge ammount just to bet on floyd. If connor wins this matchi really don t understand nothing anymore and i just can take an old lady on the street or a two year child and put the tips for me because nothing make sense anymore

    • These is the kind of match that can prove me that all the analyses and information are ussless. It s all about luck and bad luck

    • We both agree floyd will win, but you shouldn`t do anything stupid. I highly recommend betting no more than you can afford! Nothing is 100% sure!
       
      They are not useless. Luck and bad luck will balance out long term.

  8. Boxing is more prone to all the analysis going out the window simply because one punch can end it in favor of someone losing. If a clearly inferior team is down 6-0 in soccer they can’t score a 7 point goal. Fighting sports like boxing are a different animal. Conor could land his left and end it even if he’s dominated for 10 rounds. Though it’s highly unlikely – but possible. That’s boxing

    • You have a point but, like you said, this is boxing, not MMA. You can`t just take people from other sports, put them against a boxer with 25 years experience (who`s one of the best ever on top of that), and say “anybody can land a punch”. How many great boxers didn`t land a punch against Floyd?
       
      Ok, it`s possible. Anything is. But what are the chances? 30%? 10%? 1%? 0,1%? I think the last two are closer to the truth.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *