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Massive game in the English Championship, as Nottingham Forest and Derby County will square off not only in a historic rivalry, but in a key match for promotion as well, with both sides eying Premier League football next season.
Forest started brilliantly, winning 4 matches and drawing 1 in the first 5 rounds, arguably being the top favorites to win the Championship right now. Forest has played great on the offensive end, scoring an average of over 2 goals per game, and at home they have two 3-0 wins in two games. Nottinham Forest will have extra motivation today, being eager to get only their 2nd win in 7 matches over Derby and especially to avenge one of the biggest humiliations they evered suffered, a 5-0 defeat at the hands of Derby just 6 months ago.
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Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
Derby County started the season as a huge odds favorite to win the Championship, but a bad start saw them drop to 3rd on the favorites list and more worrying, to the 12th place in the standings. There`s just 5 points however between them and leaders Nottingham, so a result today would go a long way to revive the visitors. They did show what they are capable off in a 5-1 destruction of Fulham in the Capital One Cup. Derby is yet to win an away game this season, losing one and drawing one and struggled to finish off opponents in these first 5 rounds.
Team news: The team news analysis says that Blackstock and Wilson are out for Forest, while Derby will miss Thorne.
This rivalry will surely see a tense affair and my analysis suggests it should be tight as well. Derby is the slightly better team and even in this bad run of form showed glimpses of brilliance, while Nottingham plays at home, is eager to avenge the 5-0 defeat from last season and is in better form. There`s tremendous value on the draw here, if Derby was in better form I reckon the odds for a draw would be about 3.05 – 3.15 but now get almost 3.50 from Pinny. Can`t see any side dominating here and it should end in a draw that won`t hurt anyone too much, especially Derby who clearly does not afford to lose and will be satisfied to hold for a tie rather than risking a win. Prediction: Nottingham Forest – Derby County 1-1.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.46 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 14.76
Event date: 14 September
