Lyon – Evian

Olympique Lyon hosts Evian TG in the 35th round of the French Ligue 1.

Lyon is 3 points behing PSG in the Ligue 1 standinds but is looking good value to push the champions all the way … hosts are coming after getting 10 points from the last possible 12, playing good football, only being frustrated by strong St Etienne (2-2). Last time out OL recorded a 4-2 win at Reims … making it 11 goals scored in the last 4 rounds. Considering the form of PSG, Lyon has no choice but to win this if they want to win the title … especially since PSG had an approachable game at Nantes this round. Bisevac and Gourcuff will not not be in the lineup today for Olympique … Fekir is questionable.

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Evian TG gained only 2 points from the last 4 matches in Ligue 1 and fell in the drop zone … 1 point behind 17th placed Reims. Visitors are coming after an 1-2 win at home vs. Bastia and need to step up their game if they want to stay in the division. In this regard the coaching staff and ownership arranged 2 meetings with the players in the last week. Evian is not playing bad football, they are well organized, but can not win games and constantly end up losing close ones … 5 of their last 6 losses came by only a 1 goal difference. Hansen and Abdallah will mis the game today for Evian.

The general consensus is that Lyon should fly away with this game, but I am not so sure. Hosts are in good form, but in the French Ligue 1 it is always tough to get big wins and Evian is better than standings and recent stats suggests. Visitors rarely lose by more than 1 goal and with desperation kicking in, I think they will put a good effort today and keep it close. I am not ruling out an upset, but even if Lyon wins, it will probably be by 1 goal … my tip will be Evian +1,75 asian handicap. Evian will park the bus and fight for every ball, Lyon will be more than happy if they win by 1 goal. An unlikely 2 goal win by Lyon will still give us half of stakes back. Correct score prediction: Lyon – Evian 1-0.

Pick: Evian TG (+1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.94 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.58
Event date: 2 May