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Paris Saint Germain vs. Evian TG in the 34th round of the French Ligue 1, Wednesday 23 April.
PSG has virtually booked the title with 5 rounds to go, but they still need 5 more points to make it official. With Champions League out of the way, for sure PSG will be prepared and focused for the end of the league and this game vs. Evian. PSG is still undefeated at home this season in Ligue 1 (13-3-0) and has won the last 7 games in all competitions, allowing just 2 goals in the process and scoring at least twice in every game. Also PSG has very good morale for this match: after the heartbreaking elimination to Chelsea in UCL was followed by a 0-1 loss to Lyon, they beat the same Lyon 2-1 to win the League Cup on Saturday. Ibrahimovic and Motta will miss the game for PSG.
PSG: Sirigu – Wiel, Silva, Marquinhos, Digne – Matuidi, Cabaye, Verratti – Pastore, Cavani, Lavezzi
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Evian is in very good form lately with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 games. They stepped up when it mattered and are now almost worry-free for the end of the season. Evian has 5 points over the relegation line and a game in hand so a defeat here would not be a disaster for them. Evian put on a defensive show lately, allowing only 4 goals in the last 7 games. Mongongu and De Melo are the only injury worries for the visitors for this trip to Paris.
Evian: Hansen – Abdallah, Angoula, Cambon, Sabaly – Wass, Bi, Sorlin, Sougou – Ruben, Berigaud
I don`t think Evian can realistically hope to get a result in Paris even if they are in good form, but they can make it closer than expected. Given this and the low odds (also Ibrahimovic missing) I am reluctant to pick PSG to cover the handicap – instead I will take PSG to win to nil for better odds and a better return of investment – at roughly the same chances for the bet to be a winner. Evian got a great result beating PSG 2-0 earlier this season so I expect PSG to take them seriously and play intelligent football for a predicted 1-0 or 2-0 win.
Pick: PSG to win to nil
Odds: 1.83 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.81
Event date: 23 April
