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Parma hosts Juventus in the Coppa Italia with a place in the semifinals to be decided.
Parma is in all kinds of trouble this season, they have financial problems and the squad is not good, players are unhappy … Parma is on the last place in Serie A with 16 losses in 20 matches (!!!) so it’s not like they can at least get draws. The cup was the only comfort for Parma this season with a 2-1 win over Cagliari last round and getting this chance to play in the quarters with Juventus … but it`s not clear how focused Parma will be today with all the problems they have.
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Juventus in a very good moment, 4 consecutive wins all by at least a 1 goal handicap and putting 7 points between them and Roma in Serie A … now with a great position in the league Juventus can focus on the Coppa Italia to get a chance at a second trophy this season. Visitors did not win the competition in 20 years (!!!) and Stephan Lichtsteiner said that should change this year. Allegri will possibly make a couple of changes in the lineup but nothing major … maybe Llorente for Tevez, maybe Storari for Buffon or Pepe for Pereyra. Pirlo has a good chance to start after missing the 2-0 win vs. Chievo in the weekend.
I like Juventus’ odds to win this a lot, it is a one legged tie so they will not be satisfied with anything else than a clear win in 90 minutes. Visitors will play a strong lineup and it should be more than enough to win vs. this out of sorts Parma side. Look for Juventus to take the lead at some point and than add 1-2 more goals as Parma will have to open up a bit. My tip will be Juventus to win and cover the 1,5 goal handicap … simple bet really, but it should be a winning bet as Juventus showed amazing goalscoring form recently with 15 goals scored in the last 4 matches. I don’t think the odds will last as high until the match will start. Correct score prediction: Parma – Juventus 0-2.
Pick: Juventus (-1,5 handicap)
Odds: 1.95 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.60
Event date: 28 January
