PSG destroyed Leverkusen 4-0 in Germany and will want to prove their worth in Europe once again, while the germans are hoping for a decent result to erase the shame from the first leg. PSG is the odds-on favorite of course and will try to repeat the dominating performance from the first leg.
PSG is in devastating form at the moment, they won all their last 5 games and each time they covered at least a 1 goal handicap. In the weekend PSG dismantled a tough Bastia team on the road with 3-0, again with a goal from in-form Ibrahimovic. The question for Paris is how much motivation they have for today, but with the title virtually assured (8 pts advantage), Champions League is the main objective right now. Laurent Blanc will field the best available team. For this match PSG has no squad problems aside for Wiel and Camara, who is questionable.
PSG lineup: Sirigu – Jallet, Alex, Silva, Maxwell – Verratti, Motta, Matuidi – Moura, Ibrahimovic, Lavezzi
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Who would have thought Leverkusen can play so bad after a great 2013? Bayer is in abysmal form at the moment, losing 5 consecutive games before barely getting a lucky 1-1 draw against Hannover last round … a game in which Leverkusen had just 1 shot on goal and Hannover had much more chances. With this hope Leverkusen can’t expect too much from this game and will hope that PSG does not force things too much. Team news for Bayer say Kruse, Spahic and Ryu are out of the game … Bender is a question mark.
Bayer Leverkusen lineup: Leno – Hilbert, Toprak, Wollscheid, Can – Castro, Rolfez, Reinartz – Sam, Kiessling, Son
PSG is the better team and the difference in form couldn’t be any bigger so the questions raised in the analysis for this match are all about Paris Saint Germain’s motivation after the drubbing in Germany. I think the hosts will do well and will cover the handicap in this game. The league is almost won so they don’t have to focus on anything else than this match. Also PSG is desperate to do well in Champions League – the main objective for the ownership – and will take any opportunity in this competition … like it was seen in the group stages. Bayer defends horrible lately so it will be tough for them to defend Ibrahimovic. Maybe it will be a little closer than in the first leg but I fully expect PSG to win and cover the 1 goal handicap after a determined performance. My tip is PSG -1,5 … and there are good odds for this bet. Correct score prediction would be something like PSG – Bayer Leverkusen 3-0.
Pick: PSG (-1,5)
Odds: 2.16 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 10.44
Event date: 12 March