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Paris Saint Germain and Montpellier will square off in a one legged match at Parc des Princes, Paris, for a place in the quarterfinal phase of the Coupe de France.
PSG for sure is the best team in France and there can be little to say about them. They are just dominating, they are scoring at will (51 goals in 21 league rounds) and the team is also in superb form. PSG has 4 consecutive wins in all competitions, in which they scored 15 times. Only injury for PSG is Rabiot. Manager Blanc will use some rotation for this game, especially in the defensive zone, but PSG will still have a top class team on the pitch. Probable lineup looks like this (note that Silva could also be left on the bench):
PSG: Douchez – Digne, Silva, Marquinhos, Camara – Pastore, Veratti, Matuidi – Menez, Cavani, Moura
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Montpellier struggles just above the relegation zone in Ligue 1 as the team recorded an amazing number of 12 draws in 21 rounds. They finally won last round 2-0 against Sochaux. Montpellier kept a clean sheet in 3 of the last 4 games but they started scoring more with the arrival of Niang from Milan. Montpellier basically had no decent striker to field but Niang helped this team create more chances and score more in the last few games. Montpellier will not use much of a rotation and the probable lineup is close to their best. Injuries and suspensions will prevent Mounier, Martin and Bokaly from playing + Bakar doubtful
Montpellier: Jourdred – Congre, Hilton, Kaoutari, Tiene – Marveaux, Stambouli, Saihi – Sanson, Cabella – Niang
PSG to win is the obvious choice but the odds are way too low for a cup game, considering also that some key players will miss for the home side. We all know PSG can score in bunches (they have 5 consecutive games with over 2,5 goals and even with a slightly weakened lineup they will have a lot of chances for sure. But their rotation in defense might allow the improving offense of Montpellier to also create some chances on counters against a more relaxed PSG team. The visitors’ coach said that he will not adopt a too defensive approach as the team has nothing to lose. He said he wants no regrets after the match and will come at Parc des Princes to play football and win. I will bet on the over 2,5 goals option, expecting usual offensive football from PSG and Montpellier to take some risks as promised and don`t. Niang has been brilliant since arriving and could score again for the visitors. My pick is PSG – Montpellier 3-1 with a stake of 8 units on over 2,5 bet. The odds are not the absolute best for sure, but Unibet has a fair price and the chances to win this bet are very good in my opinion.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.62 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.96
Event date: 22 January
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 0 for 2 in tips involving PSG this season
