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Monday night football in Romania … Rapid Bucharest hosts Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt in the last game of the Liga 1 14th round.
Poor Rapid is in a realy bad situation … one of the biggest clubs in Romania, they are almost bankrupt for two years … relegated due to financial reasons, promoted this year but it seems they will relegate again because they are simply playing very poor. Rapid is on the second to last place, only one win and 9 points, and form is absolutely horrible: only 1 point in the last 6 games and NO GOALS SCORED in the last 6 games! Last week they lost at home vs. the last place in the league at that time … 0-1 vs. Iasi. For today Rapid misses key players Dica, Vasile, Mera, Boukaka and possibly Pancu. Except Boukaka, these are some of the best players on this team and they are all new absences, having played last week.
Bet on Rapid Bucharest – Ceahlaul with the best Romania Liga 1 odds at Pinnacle.
Note that Rapid also is in a situation of uncertainty … players are not paid, there are changing happening in the offices and coach Rada is rumoured to be on the sacking table after just being appointed a couple of rounds ago. So atmosphere is not good.
Ceahlaul is not doing better than Rapid … in the last 7 games they lost 4 and got 3 draws, not the best statistics … and they have dropped to the relegation places and can not find any form. They can usually score goals (unlike Rapid) but also have a very poor defensive game. Ceahlaul lost 2-1 at strong Astra last week, not a bad game for Ceahlaul. Ceahlaul has a couple of huge absences: Achim, Dumitras, Marc, Slavickas or Cazan.
If you look at the statistics you will say that I am crazy, but my tip will be over 2,5 goals. I think there is fantastic value on that bet: Rapid needs a win, they absolutely need the three points and will attack from the start. After struggling so much to score, for sure they worked in training and maybe will show a better offensive movement. And we have Ceahlaul who is regularly involved in low scoring games and most important, they practically miss all their starters in defense … so will have to play with an improvised back 4. Rapid also with 3 key defensive men out. Over 2,5 goals is a value bet but also has very good chances to happen, we have special circumstances to favor us against statistics. Correct score prediction: Rapid – Ceahlaul 2-2.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.49 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 10.43
Event date: 10 November
