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Real Madrid hosts Almeria in the 34th round of La Liga in attempt to get back within 2 points of Barcelona.
Real is on a high after the recent results … backed up the qualification (and good performance) over Atletico Madrid with a 4-2 win at Celta Vigo on Sunday … a good performance on a tough pitch. Chicharito was again the X factor with 2 goals and he will be pumped up for today … when he will surely start again alongside Ronaldo and James. Bale, Benzema and Modric continue to miss out of the lineup because of injury … but there are additional problems for Real today with Sergio Ramos and Marcelo suspended. In these conditions Real will probably start with an identical lineup like in the UCL match vs. Atletico, only with Illaramendi instead of Ramos.
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Almeria on paper is flying high after winning 2 of the last 3 games … their only wins since early February. Beating Eibar and Granada might not be very impressive, but it got Almeria out of the relegation zone and that’s all that matters. However the visitors remain a disaster on the road: 5 consecutive losses and 8 losses in the last 9 travels … only beating Cordoba on February 8th. Almeria will have to deal with some injuries and suspensions today, which will be a handicap for them: Bifouma, Wellington, Macedo, Soriano and Fran Velez are unavailable.
Almeria’s weakened lineup will be heavily tested at Bernabeu … Real also has a lot of missing players, but they proved in the last two games they can deal with them without problems. This is set to be a routine win for Real, they are in great form, have players in form and with high morale like Chicharito and motivation is huge to not lose contact with Barcelona. Almeria will obviously expect to lose this game and will try to limit the score … but 4 of their last 6 losses away came by a form of handicap.
It should be a similar loss for Almeria to the one Barcelona handed them 3 weeks ago (4-0). My tip will be Real Madrid to win and cover a 2,5 goal handicap. Correct score prediction: Real Madrid – Almeria 4-0.
Pick: Real Madrid -2,5
Odds: 1.76 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.08
Event date: 29 April
