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In a rematch of last year`s semifinals, Dortmund will take on Real Madrid in the Champions League QF. Last year Dortmund was the winner with a 4-3 aggregate result, but right now Real Madrid are the odds-on favorites to qualify and, of course, to win the home game.
Real Madrid suffered a huge blow to their title chances after they lost to Barcelona 3-4 at home and went on to lose another game next round at Sevilla. Los Blancos were having a terrific season, but those losses put a huge dent in their championship hopes, despite Real bouncing back to win 5-0 vs an in form Vallecano team this weekend. Champions League might be the main objective for Ancelotti’s men right now and they will feel confident hosting a Dortmund side that decreased compared to last season. Team news for Real Madrid are good: Marcelo, Khedira, Arbeola and Jese are out, but all can be replaced and there are no other problems.
Real Madrid: Casillas – Carvajal, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo – Modric, Alonso, Di Maria – Ronaldo, Benzema, Bale
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Dortmund is nowhere near the level of last season right now. The team is 23 points behind Bayern in Bundesliga (already lost the league) and are on 2nd place only because of very bad form for all top Bundesliga sides. Still, Dortmund apparently found some form recently: knocked out Zenit in the UCL round 16 (4-2, 1-2) and has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. Maybe the main reason for Dortmund’s disappointing season was their injury list: at one point they had 7 defenders on the sidelines! Unfortunately for Borussia team news do not look much better prior to this Real Madrid game: Lewandowski, Bender, Gundogan, Schmelzer, Blaszczykowski, Bandowski and Subotic are unavailable today. Klopp will have to improvise in defense yet again and of course Lewandowski’s absence is terrible news for the offensive game of Borussia.
Borussia Dortmund: Weidenfeller – Piszczek, Hummels, Sokratis, Durm – Kehl, Sahin – Groskreutz, Mkhitaryan, Reus – Aubameyang
Real Madrid looks very likely to record a comfortable win over Dortmund right now. Yes, Los Blancos lost to Barcelona and Sevilla, but they played great in the last game vs. Rayo and had an almost perfect season overall, playing such good football on both ends of the field – especially in 2014 – and also with great results – so you can`t say Real is not in good form only because of those 2 losses. Dortmund got some decent results lately in Bundesliga but they will be ravaged by injuries again and it will be hard to resist an in form Real Madrid side in these conditions – especially that Dortmund is not a force on the road. Real won last year 2-0 at home vs Borussia in much worse circumstances so I am confident they can repeat that performance this time around.My tip is Real to win with -1,5 goals handicap. Over 2,5 also looks good but odds are short and without Lewandowski it could be tricky because Dortmund will have big, big problems up front. Correct score prediction, for me, would be something like Real Madrid – Borussia Dortmund 3-0.
Pick: Real Madrid (-1,5)
Odds: 2.09 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 9.81
Event date: 2 April
