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Real Madrid hosts Juventus in the Champions League semifinals second leg, after losing the first match 2-1 in Turin.
Real Madrid played their top football over the last few months, but entered a critical situation at the worst times … the last week was a disaster, with the 1-2 loss to Juventus and the 2-2 draw with Valencia, after Ronaldo missed a penalty … a game that virtually handed Barcelona the title. Now Champions League is the last chance for Real to get silverware this season and despite the defeat in the first leg one would say they still hold the first chance to progress … especially since they finally have a healthier lineup, with many key players back from injury. Modric remains the only important absentee … Kroos and Benzema have knocks but will probably be available to start if Ancelotti chooses so.
Real Madrid projected lineup:
Casillas – Carvajal, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo – James, Kroos, Isco – Benzema, Ronaldo, Bale
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Juventus finished 1-1 with Cagliari at home over the weekend … but with the title already won and with some players rested, it isn’t a result to be taken into account. Pogba came back for Juve and he will be ready for today, a big plus. Asamoah and Caceres are the only unavailable players for Massimiliano Allegri today.
Juventus projected lineup:
Buffon – Lichtsteiner, Chiellini, Bonucci, Evra – Pirlo, Marchisio, Pogba – Vidal – Morata, Tevez
Credit to Juventus for pulling off the win at home, but they played a near perfect game and Real played one of their worst game of 2015 … also making some huge tactical errors, especially pushing like crazy for the win and so allowing the 2nd goal on the break. If Juve barely pulled of the win in that conditions, at home, I don’t give them too many chances in the second leg. The Italians reached this stage with a lot of luck after the tie vs. Monaco … and they miss a few pieces to compete at the highest level in my opinion.
With the likes of Benzema back in the lineup and Bale now with matches under his belt (expected to play better than the horrible first leg) … that should make a difference for Real and I expect the hosts to get a solid win and to qualify … my tip will be Real Madrid to win and cover a 1 goal asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Real Madrid – Juventus 2-0.
Pick: Real Madrid (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.17 @ Sbobet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 11.7
Event date: 13 May
