Real Madrid – Napoli

Zidane Ronaldo Real Madrid

Napoli will hope their amazing form can get them a positive result at Santiago Bernabeu in the Champions League Round of Last 16.

Real Madrid is on the back of a 3-1 road win against Osasuna, cementing their lead at the top of the La Liga table. Zidane’ team has been excellent all season but recently there have been signs of slowing down, especially on the defensive end. Real seems unable to keep a clean sheet lately and that could hurt them against an offensive juggernaut like Napoli.

The Italians are playing some excellent football right now, putting together an amazing run of 18 matches without a loss in all competitions. Their last defeat was way back in October against Juventus and since then, Napoli won 12 and drew 6. The visitors scored 9 goals in their last 2 matches and have by far the best offense in Serie A, banging in an average of almost 2.4 goals per game.

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Team news & lineups:

Real Madrid has to do without Gareth Bale, but they have no other injuries or suspensions. Napoli can field their best lineup, as they only miss Tonnelli.

Real Madrid: Navas – Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Marcelo – Kroos, Casemiro, Modric – Lucas, Benzema, Ronaldo

Napoli: Reina – Hysaj, Albiol, Koulibaly, Ghoulam – Zielinski, Jorginho – Callejon, Hamsik, Mertens – Insigne

Betting on goals seems to be the right choice here, as both sides like to play attacking minded football and have scored plenty of goals this season, including lately.

Real Madrid’s 3 home games in the Champions League all ended with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Napoli recorded 2 overs in 3 away games and both teams scored in all of their 3 road games. The statistics are pretty telling.

Of course, Champions League football in the knockout stages can often be cagey as teams are unwilling to take risks, but you have to feel that if Napoli gets a goal, a bet on the over 2.5 becomes extremely likely to win.

Napoli is flying high right now and their offensive style of football, along with Real’s issues at the back, should allow the Italians to score once or twice. Real Madrid is not defending well at all, keeping a single clean sheet in the last 7 matches in all competition – a worrying statistic for a team of Real’s caliber.

My tip is over 2,5 goals to be scored. The odds are not particularly high, but they are fair and I am satisfied with this price. Prediction: Real Madrid – Napoli 2-1.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.58 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.64
Event date: 15 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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