Monday night football in Spain with the last match in La Liga’s 21st round.
Maybe Real Sociedad are not as strong as last season when they finished on 4th place and qualified for Champions League, but they are still a very solid team and can dream of repeating the performance. Sociedad is on 6th place and a win today would see them just 6 points behind Bilbao for the 4th position. Sociedad played some great football lately winning a lot of games but suffered a small dip in form in the last to La Liga matches (1-5 at Villareal, 2-2 vs Getafe). Sociedad is on the back of a 3-1 win against Santander in the Spanish Cup, after knocking out Villareal 10 days ago (revenging that 5-1 defeat). League and Cup combined, Sociedad is in good form, but they need to get back to winning ways in La Liga. Team news: Ifran, Elustondo, De la Bella and Granero can’t play. Estrada is questionable.
Real Sociedad lineup: Bravo – Martinez, Martinez, Gonzalez, Angel – Pardo, Bergara – Vela, Prieto, Griezmann – Agirretxe
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Elche is on 17th place in the standings and just won a huge game vs. Vallecano last round (2-0) after gaining just 1 point in the previous 5 matches. The visitors are 2 points clear of relegation and with a game in hand. Elche does not really have La Liga quality but with a couple of other poor teams this season, they might just earn themselves a second year in the top flight after promoting this season. Elche lost the last two away games in Primera and last time won on the road in October. Team news: Alvaro is the only certain absentee for Elche, but Sapunaru, Suarez and Ianson are all major doubts.
Elche lineup: Tono – Suarez, Botia, Lomban, Albacar – Perez, Sanchez – Gil, Aaron, Coro – Herrera
My bet is Real Sociedad to win with -1 asian handicap. Sociedad is the better team and they are playing good football lately. Elche is struggling on the road and that 2-0 win they got against Vallecano will take away some of their motivation for this game. Sociedad must win this if they want to remain favorites for an european spot, and I reckon they will be able to do it rather comfortably on their own turf. The hosts have been very good at home with a 6-2-1 statline and 23-7 goal difference and a visit from lowly Elche should help them improve on those statistics. I don`t see any reasons for a potential upset, so pick Sociedad to get a solid home win with a 1 goal asian handicap. Prediction: Real Sociedad – Elche 2-0.
Pick: Real Sociedad (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.04
Event date: 27 January