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The stakes could hardly be any higher when these two teams meet at Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla, with the La Liga title and relegation being on the line. Real is of course the odds-on favorite as both sides have a game in hand compared to the rest of the field. Let`s proceed with the analysis to see what and where to bet.
Valladolid (19th place) is involved in a dogfight for relegation. They are just one point away from safety and have this game in hand, so even a draw would be huge for the hosts in their quest to avoid the drop. Valladolid got a massive win last round against Espanyol (1-0), but they were coming after 3 winless games and their form is not the best. However, Valladolid will try to draw some inspiration from their 1-0 win against Barcelona in early March, a game that showed they can compete against the best under the right circumstances.
Real Madrid blew a huge chance to gain an edge in the title race last round. Los Blancos drew 2-2 at home with Valencia (thanks to a superb late Ronaldo goal), after Atletico Madrid and Barcelona previously failed to win their games themselves. A win today against Valladolid will see Real go 2 points behind Atletico and 1 point ahead of Barca in the standings. This would give Real another solid shot at the title considering that Atletico and Barcelona will play each other in the last round of the La Liga. Los Blancos will be confident coming into this game, as they were on the back of 5 consecutive wins (the last two with 4-0) prior to the Valencia draw.
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Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
Team news & lineups
Rossi is out for Valladolid. Manucho and Heinz are doubtful. Real Madrid continues to have Arbeola and Jese unavailable. Carvajal and Bale will also miss the game, while Casillas will probably start in goal to catch some form prior to the Champions League final.
Valladolid: Jimenez – Rukavina, Marc Valiente, Mitrovic, Pena – Alvaro Rubio, Larsson, Victor Perez, Oscar – Jeffren, Javi Guerra
Real Madrid: Casillas – Nacho, Pepe, S. Ramos, F. Coentrao – Xabi Alonso, Modric, Isco – Di Maria, C. Ronaldo, Benzema
Real Madrid is one of the most in-form teams in Europe right now and considering their recent ecstatic form, it’s safe to say the Valencia result was an accident. I can’t see Real blowing their title chances against this lowly Valladolid team and I also expect the visitors to push hard early on in order to be safe towards the end of the game. It should be an onslaught at Valladolid’s goal until Real gets a safe difference, so a handicap win for Real Madrid seems a logical and solid bet here according to the analysis. My tip is Real Madrid -1,5 handicap – Valladolid is poor in front of goal so even two goals should be enough for Real to cover the handicap. Regarding where to bet, Pinnacle offers the best odds here and I reckon that 1.74 is a great price for this pick. Prediction: Real Valladolid – Real Madrid 0-3.
Pick: Real Madrid (-1,5)
Odds: 1.74 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.66
Event date: 7 May
