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Relegation bound Real Valladolid has everything to play for when they host an out of form Valencia side, but the visitors will also try to get back to winning ways, so this should be an interesting encounter.
Valladolid (18th place) will get out of the relegation zone with a win today and they will be confident of doing so after getting a much needed win against Almeria last round (1-0), a result that ended a 3 game winless streak (2 losses, 1 draw). Despite an overall poor season, the hosts have been pretty decent at home, losing just 3 games and posting a 5-7-3 statline – the highlight of course being the 1-0 win against Barcelona 5 rounds ago. Valladolid has really stepped it up defensively lately, allowing more than 1 goal in a game just once in the last 7 games.
Valencia does not have much to play for, the team is on the 8th place with virtually no chance for an european spot and of course no worries regarding relegation. However, the visitors will be keen to end a horrible run of short term form which saw them losing with a 6-1 aggregate score against Basel in the Europa League and against and poor Getafe in the last 2 matches, thus reaching 3 games without winning.
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Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
Team news & lineups
Osorio and Heinz, both doubtful, are the only injury issues for Valladolid. Valencia will miss Alves, Ruiz and Matthieu, while Piatti, Costa and Senderos will have to undergo late fitness evaluations.
Real Valladolid: Jaime – Rukavina, Rueda, Mitrovic, Pena – Gonzalez, Rubio, Perez, Larsson – Manucho, Guerra
Valencia: Guaita – Barragan, Vezo, Senderos, Bernat, – Keita, Fuego – Vargas, Parejo, Fede – Jonas
Even though Valencia is a pretty offensive minded team, I can easily see this game going under 2,5 goals. The visitors have struggled big time on the defensive end lately and will surely try to improve at the back – which they could well do against one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Valladolid on the other hand badly needs points, at least one, so they will be very careful, take few risks, and look to continue their solid run on the defensive end. I think the most likely result here is a draw, Valencia is the better team but Valladolid is in better form and is more motivated, but I won`t put money on that kind of bet here. My tip will be under 2,5 goals. Prediction: Real Valladolid – Valencia 1-1.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.86 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.02
Event date: 6 April
