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Champions League third qualifying round, 2nd leg, Red Bull Salzburg vs. Karabakh Agdam. In the first match Karabakh got a famous 2-1 victory and enters this reverse leg with hope to qualify.
Salzburg is a fantastic team, the best side to come out from Austrian football in a very long time. The hosts were unbelievable last season when they won the league by miles and reached the Europa League Round 16 with some blowout victories over teams like Standard Liege or Ajax. The main strength for Salzburg is their attack: last season Alan and Soriano scored together two goals per game in average! This year Salzburg also added star man Bruno from Anderlecht and Austrian hope Sabitzer. Salzburg started league with 3 wins in 3 games and 13-1 goal difference but had a hard match in Azerbaidjan and fell 2-1, ruining many bets. But they dominated the game and were unlucky to lose … they were all over Karabakh. Team news for Salzburg say that Schwegler is out but star Alan will come back.
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Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
Karabakh is a good team, Azeri football is in big progress and big money were invested in the team with hope to impress in Europe. Even if Salzburg dominated the first match Karabakh (or Qarabag) showed great fighting spirit and with advantage of the home court managed to get that win. They have some good players and are disciplined tactically but they don’t have the quality of Salzburg and will also need some luck today to qualify. A problem for Karabakh is the team news: best player and the man who scored the winner last week, Reynaldo, is suspended, also Teli will not play.
I am a tipster who usually likes the underdog and I tipped Qarabag +1,5 handicap in the first match … but this time I see almost no chance for the visitors to resist. Salzburg is a top, top team who can put 3-4 goals past anyone and they get their key striker Alan back … while Qarabag will miss pest player Reynaldo, so a big difference compared to the first leg. Home court advantage is also set to make a very big difference, it was hard for Salzburg to play all the way in Azerbaidjan, a different country, we all know it’s hard to play there; still they managed to hold the ball and create much more chances but were unlucky. Salzburg is a team that covers big handicaps every time they get the chance so my tip here will be Salzburg to win with -2,5 handicap and qualify easy. Maybe the odds don’t have so much value because everybody is picking Salzburg to win big, but I think the bet is safe so I will go with 8 units. Correct score prediction: Red Bull Salzburg – Karabakh Agdam 3-0.
Pick: Salzburg (-2,5)
Odds: 2.05 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.4
Event date: 6 August
