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Coppa Italia quarterfinals. The round is played in a single game and Roma will get the chance to host this one. Juventus all but ended Roma’s title hopes when they trashed them 3-0 in the League just two weeks ago in Torino – handing them their first defeat of the season. Now 8 points behind in the Serie A table, Roma will hope to take revenge and make use of their great team and form to get something in the cup – and not blow the whole season.
Roma looked for a long time early in the season as the favorite for the title, with a 10 match winning streak, but due to some injuries they lost some pace. Juventus barely made a wrong step so the Scudetto looks pretty far from Roma now. The hosts currently have 2 consecutive wins. At home they are 9-2-0. Overall Roma allowed just 10 goals in 20 rounds and also scored 42 times.
Juventus is playing brilliant right now. They won 11 of their last 12 games, only loss to Galatasaray in UCL. In the last 5 games Juventus scored at least 3 goals in each of them. The Old Lady scored 50 times overall in 20 rounds in the league for an average of 2.5 goals per contest. Not much to say about Juve, they are just fantastic right now and mainly because of the firepower they have in the midfield and attack.
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Team news: Balzaretti from Roma is basically the only relevant absentee today – both teams are healty. There will be some rotation in both squads with so little time after the weekend league round. Both coaches tried to rest some players in the Serie A round and will again rotate the squads a little bit. The biggest names that will probably not play from the start are De Rossi and Vidal. It is very hard to predict the starting 11 for each team but the lineups could look something like this:
Roma: Lobont – Maicon, Benatia, Castan, Dodo – Pjanic, Strootman, Naingollan – Florenzi, Totti, Gervinho
Juventus: Storari – Caceres, Bonucci, Chiellini – Isla, Padoin, Pirlo, Pogba, Marchisio – Llorente, Quagliarella
I think this will again go over 2.5 goals just like 2 weeks ago when Juventus won 3-0. Roma was not so bad in that game, they could have also scored, but Juve was just too strong. Now at home you have to feel Roma can create some good chances with their superb attacking lineup (probably Totti, Florenzi and Gervinho will all start). Also you have to be very brave to say that the free-scoring Juve side will fail to find the net – aside from the Galatasaray defeat, the last time Juve did not score in a game was in April against Bayern Munchen in UCL. I can see Roma starting with an offensive mindset and trying to revenge the defeat in the Serie A. Juve for sure will have their chances to find the net, they are absolutely deadly in the final third of the pitch. My pick is Roma – Juventus 2-2 and my bet is over 2,5 goals.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.84 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.56
Event date: 21 January
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 1 for 4 in tips on Roma this season
