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Norwegian champions Rosenborg and Swedish champions Norrkoping will square off in one of the most interesting ties of the Champions League second qualifying round, with Rosenborg hosting the first leg.
Rosenborg finally got back to the top of Norwegian football last season, winning the league in impressive fashion, being utterly dominant throughout the year. They also did some minor damage in Europe, knocking out Steaua Bucharest and drawing twice with Saint Etienne in Europa League. This season things are going on the same line for Rosenborg, with the hosts posting a stats line of 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the Tippeligaen, having a 3 point cushion at the top of the standings. Rosenborg is on the back of a 5-2 home win against Sarpsborg.
Norrkoping doesn`t have many big names in their squad, but this is a very solid team, well organized and has the power to even challenge for a place in the group stages. The Swedish league is getting better, Malmo played in the group stages in the last two years and Norrkoping managed to win the Allsvenskan last season over teams like Malmo. They are in a good situation this season as well, sitting on the second place just 3 points behind the leaders and they have not lost in 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws). Norrkoping won away at Djurgarden 1-0 over the weekend, the first match in Sweden after the 2 months mid season break.
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Team news: There are no reports about new important missing players for either team.
Both sides are in good form and both are in the middle of their domestic seasons, playing competitive football, so this should be a good match. Rosenborg won its previous 9 home matches, so that will give the hosts extra confidence ahead of this clash.
Odds on Rosenborg are going up and that is a natural movement, as the initial price was lower than 1.50 for a home win. Norrkoping might not have a recognizable name in Europe and they do not own top individual talent, but this team is right there with Malmo as the best in Sweden and must not be taken lightly under any circumstances. The way they are playing, Norrkoping has every chance of qualifying for the next stage.
I can see the hosts dominating possession, while Norrkoping will play smart tactically as they usually do, press in the opposing half and try to launch quick counters after getting the ball back in transition. I expect a close game from start to finish.
Rosenborg’s great form, their experience, home court advantage and their slightly superior individual quality should be enough for them to win this match. However, Norrkoping is a very, very good side for this level and I would be shocked if they go down without a fight. A close home win seems like the most likely scenario here and something like 2-1 would probably satisfy everyone involved.
My tip is Rosenborg to win by one goal (draw on the -1 european handicap market), low – medium stakes. I feel the bet has good value. Prediction: Rosenborg – Norrkoping 2-1.
Pick: -1 EH Draw (Rosenborg by 1 goal)
Odds: 3.80 @ Youwin
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 14
Event date: 13 July
