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Saint Etienne hosts Bastia in the 17th round of the French Ligue 1.
Saint Etienne in the last home game was fantastic … 3-0 win vs. Lyon, could have even been 4-0 or 5-0 … after that they went on and won 2-0 in Montpellier a couple of days ago so the hosts are really in great form. It was a good improvement on the offensive end because before the two games, Saint-Etienne did not score more than 1 goal per game since the second round of the Ligue 1! But their defense is absolute top notch and allows them to be on the 4th place, undefeated in 10 games (all competitions) and with real chances to climb even higher if they can maintain the scoring form. For today Saint-Etienne has Clement, Erding, daint-Maximin, Clerc and Diomande unavailable and Hamouma is questionable.
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Bastia fell to the last place in the league after losing again a few days ago, 1-2 at Evian, very disappointing. I do not think Bastia is the worst team in the league and they are not, they have the quality to avoid relegation for sure, but now things are not working … for today team news are also bad, they have the same amount of injuries like Saint-Etienne but not so much options to cover them … Ba, Pino, Brandao are unavailable, Squillaci, Ayite and Tallo are questionable.
Saint-Etienne look like one of the bankers of the day but I don’t think they will have a very easy game … still I do think they will win, mainly because of playing at home and because of the very good form they are showing. My tip will be Saint Etienne to win to nil … they have the second best defense in the league and host a team with the second worst offense in the league. Bastia scores much less than 1 goal per game in average and getting one in St Etienne seems unlikely, specially with their poor form. I prefer the St Etienne win to nil option instead of the handicap because I am not sure if Saint Etienne can win so easy and the odds are also better for my bet than for a -1 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: St Etienne – Bastia 1-0.
Pick: St Etienne win to nil
Odds: 2.00 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8
Event date: 6 December
