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Huge match in Ligue 1 this Friday between third placed Lille and fourth placed Saint Ettiene. Six points are separating the two teams at the moment but for sure St. Etienne will try to reduce the gap with a win at home.
Lille is playing great football so far, keeping the pace imposed by PSG and Monaco. Lille actually drew 2-2 at PSG in the second to last round in Ligue 1. The visitors have the best defense in the league with just 0.5 goals allowed per game … the same number is valid for their away games, but on the road they also struggle scoring. Lille has 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses away from home. The visitors are on the back of a 1-2 loss at home to Reims and will try to recover here, but I guess a draw would not bother them too much.
Saint Etienne is slowly getting back to the glory years … the current 4th place is a great achievement but the team could maybe push even further. A win today would for sure put them in Top 3 contention. The hosts do not have big names and do not excell in any department but they are very well organized and play balanced football. Saint Etienne is 6-2-2 at home … and they have 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 rounds in Ligue 1 so very good form. They are on the back of 2 draws overall in all competitions (vs. Guingamp and Cannes).
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St Etienne team news:
Doubtful: Clerc, Hamouma
Out: Baysse, Polomat
Possible lineup: Ruffier – Clerc, Sall, Perrin, Ghoulam – Clement, Cohade – Hamouma, Corgnet, Tabanou – Erding
Lille team news:
Doubtful: Basa
Out: Beria, Mendes
Possible lineup: Enyeama – Sidibe, Kjaer, Basa, Souare – Balmont, Mavuba, Gueye – Rodelin, Martin – Kalou
Lille has better squad and is the better team overall but St Etienne is also very strong and they play well at home. There is hard to separate this two teams and I think the draw is the most probable results. Given the high odds for the “X” sign I think this bet is value. Under 2.5 also looks like a very good choice considering the goal numbers of the two teams (especially Lille away) but the odds have little value. Lille is prone to ties on the road so I think there is a good chance they will get their 5th road draw of the season. Like I said, it is hard to think the home win or away win are more probable than the draw here, and yet look at the price on “X”. My pick would be St Etienne – Lille 1-1.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.20 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 11
Event date: 17 January
Editor Facts
- Ocean has 1 won and 1 void in tips in January
