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Tough situation for Juventus, as the visitors need to play this important match against a relegation threatened side in between the two crucial Europa League matches against Benfica.
Juve lost 2-1 in Portugal on Thursday and one might think that they will focus on the reverse leg against Benfica, which awaits in just three days. Even with a loss against Sassuolo Juventus would still have a 5 point advantage over Roma with 3 rounds to go – an advantage one might say is safe, but actually it`s not. The Old Lady will have to travel at Olimpico in the second to last round and taking Roma`s form into account Juve really needs a win today if they don`t want drama to enfold in the last 3 rounds.
Sassuolo will stay outside the drop zone even with a loss today, but they are tied with 18th placed Bologna and have just 3 points ahead of 19th placed Livorno, so anything they can get against Juve would be a blessing. The hosts will feel confident coming into this game considering their very good recent form: Sassuolo has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last three rounds.
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Team news & lineups
Sassuolo is in a world of trouble prior to this game, missing no less than 7 players. Star man and top scorer Berardi, Alexe, Manfredini, Acerbi, Bianco, Missiroli and Biondini are all out, but also Marrone, Brighi, Ariaudo and Sansone are doubtful. Juventus will most likely have to do without Vidal and Barzagli but otherwise they have a full squad to choose from and Conte will field a strong lineup even in the unlikely scenario in which he decides to rest 2-3 players (Pirlo comes to mind).
Sassuolo: Pegolo – Gazzola, Antei, Cannavaro, Longi – Chibsah, Magnanelli, Ziegler – Masucci, Zaza, Flores
Juventus: Buffon – Caceres, Ogbonna, Chiellini – Lichsteiner, Pogba, Pirlo, Marchisio, Asamoah – Llorente, Tevez
Indeed the hosts will fight for their lives today and Juve has to think at least a little bit towards the Benfica game, but even so the visitors should end up winning this, probably with a 1 goal handicap as well (despite the fact that odds of ~1.45 for the simple win are also decent). Juve has been so dominant in Italy this year that it would be a colossal surprise to risk losing the title against Sassuolo (a weakened Sassuolo!) after winning 11 of their last 12 Serie A games. Also let`s not forget that just a couple of weeks ago Sassuolo was on a run of 10 losses in 12 matches and their recent improvement in form is also due to less than impressive opposition (Chievo, Atalanta, Cagliari). Big difference in quality here, Juve will play with the first team and they have what it takes to withstand these 3 matches in one week. Not lastly, Sassuolo’s injuries and suspensions are sure to have a hurtful impact on the hosts, who are unlikely to be able to challenge Juventus with these kind of absences (even though most of them are long-term).
My tip is Juve to win and cover the 1,25 goal asian handicap. I am very confident in this bet so I will approach it with maximum stakes at very good odds. Prediction: Sassuolo – Juventus 0-2.
Pick: Juventus (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.08 @ Sbobet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 10.8
Event date: 28 April
