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A seventh Australian Open title is on the line for Serena Williams, as she meets Germany’s Angelique Kerber as a 1.10 – 1.15 odds favorite.
Serena Williams has not lost a set in this tournament, she did not have to play a single tiebreak and aside for her 1st round match against Giorgi (6-4 7-5) she won all her matches by a difference of 7 or more games. Absolute dominance for Serena these two weeks and it’s hard to see the American breaking a sweat to win the final. She’s truly at the top of her game, a situation in which she’s unbeatable on the WTA tour.
Kerber had an excellent tournament herself. Like Serena, she was a bit rusty in the first round, surviving a scare against Misaki Doi, when she also lost her only set of the tournament. After that, Kerber cruised, winning all sets 7-5 or less, though she was pushed a bit by Azarenka and Konta, who were very competitive for one set each. The German player will hope that her stellar defense will break something in Serena’s offensive mechanism.
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Serena leads the Head 2 Head 5-1 (all meetings were on hard courts), winning all 5 matches in straight sets. The last meeting was in 2014, won by Williams, who has a 4 match winning streak against Kerber. Obviously it’s hard to say anybody has a matchup advantage over Serena and Kerber does not have it either, as she`s not the kind of big hitter that can sometimes trouble Williams.
Listen, Kerber has been rock solid in this tournament, but beating Serena in this kind of form is a virtually impossible. I doubt Kerber will be able to win her 1st set against the American in this Australian Open final and I doubt that she will be able to pose a realistic threat.
Look for Serena Williams to start strong, dominating with her serve and attacking shots. Her experience is also a very important factor against a player that will be in her first ever Grand Slam final. It would be a huge surprise for the mighty Serena to not use her experience against a young rookie like Kerber. All in all, I can see the American winning rather easily, so the 6 game handicap line looks pretty good to me.
My tip is Serena Williams to win and cover the 6 game handicap. A stake of 8 units for this bet seems reasonable. Prediction: Serena Williams – Angelique Kerber 6-1 6-3.
Pick: Williams -6
Odds: 1.85 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.80
Event date: 30 January
Maybe halep will learn something from this kerber. I mean serena came back twice.from 1 – 0 sets she tied and then from 2 5 she make 4 5 and still kerber menege to regain herself . No offense to halep.she is a good player but she doesn.t have that mean warrior atitude to win grand slams
I don`t agree. I think it`s a matter of quality and circumstances. I believe Halep in the form of her life would have defeated a shaky Serena, just like Kerber did. And I think Kerber is just a better player than Halep overall.
I think Halep performed way over her potential so far, it`s not a matter of mentality, it`s a matter of quality. I don`t like Halep, but many people don`t give her a fair shake. The girl reached No.2 in the world with a poor serve, no power, without knowing how to hit a volley or a drop shot, so she must have some fighting spirit.
As for you rostick:”beating serena is virtualy imposibile” ??you should now better.reading your pick and watching the game …not so imposibile now is it?
I said “beating Serena in this kind of form”. But yes, you are right, I should have known better regarding the fact that form is not permanent. Serena chocked before. I believed that even on a poor day, experience would get her trough. I was wrong.
And yes, I was ashamed of myself as I was watching the game. Felt sorry for my money as well 🙂 I was poor in this Australian Open.
Kerber, good job!