Siena hosts Reggina in the 39th round of the Italian Serie B, Tuesday 13 May.
Siena is 5 points away from the last playoff place with 2 rounds to go and they also have 3 teams between them and that 8th place. Clearly the hosts need to win the remaining two games and they have a great chance to get the first one under their belt today. Siena meets Reggina, a team with nothing to fight for and one of the poorest teams in Serie B. The problem for Siena is that they are in very poor form with only 1 point in the last 4 rounds, but on the other hand they are one of the best home teams in the league: 11 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats – statistics worthy of a top 3 team, not for the team on the 12th place.
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Reggina has relegated a long time ago, they only gained 26 points in 38 rounds (only 11 away from home). The form is very poor for the visitors, 4 draws, 6 defeats and zero wins in the last 10 rounds. Last round they held Brescia to a 1-1 draw but it was a home game and Brescia had nothing to fight for.
The motivation is on Siena’s side for sure here, I don’t think Reggina has anything left to give. The visitors are preparing to rebuild the squad for Serie C, some players know they will be gone in the summer, morale is low and it can be seen in the results. Even though Siena is in a bad run of form lately this is the perfect chance for them to give it one last push for the playoffs and I doubt a team like Reggina will stand in their way. Siena played bad in the last 4 games but they did meet only teams that were in the top half of the table at the time.
Look for Siena to make use of its excellent home statistics and get out of the slump. My tip is Siena to win and cover the -1,25 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Siena – Reggina 2-0.
Pick: Siena (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.83 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.64
Event date: 13 May