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Colombia will travel to Ljubljana as the South American side is looking for a 4th win in a row when facing Slovenia.
Slovenia is coming after a 1-3 defeat in England on Saturday, they actually took the lead in the 58th minute but could not held on and went on to allow 3 goals in no more than 14 minutes right after their opener – truth to be told, Slovenia didn`t deserve to take anything from that game, but playing at Wembley is always going to be tough. The hosts have won their previous two games prior to the England defeat, routing Switzerland 1-0 and winning 2-0 in Lithuania. There is a sense of excitement and confidence around the team, especially after Maribor`s recent heroics in the Champions League.
Colombia came back from 1-0 down to beat USA 2-1 at Craven Cottage on Friday, it was the 3rd win in a row for the South Americans after they previously beat Canada (1-0) and El Salvador (3-0). However, this might be their toughest test since the World Cup, especially giving the fact that they will have to play away in Eastern Europe, which is never easy – not even for Western European teams, let alone South American ones. We all know Colombia`s quality, it remains to be seen if they will be able to capitalize on it.
Bet on Slovenia vs. Colombia with the best football odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Team news: The big news of course is the fact that Radamel Falcao is unavailable, but Carlos Bacca has been in great form both for Sevilla and for the National team, so he should be able to carry the load instead of the Man United striker.
Odds on Colombia are dropping like crazy, but I really think Slovenia can do some damage here, they have a lot of arguments to get of result. Yes, Colombia is the better team and in excellent form, playing good football, but they did not meet top quality opponents lately. Slovenia are no mugs and they will arguably be the more motivated side, playing at home and relishing a result against a famous opponent. You also have the argument that the Slovenians are in the middle of the Euro 2016 qualifiers, focused and having official games under their belt, while Columbia is cruising between meaningless friendlies. Not lastly, let`s not forget that Slovenia defeated a real solid Switzerland side in their last home match, so clearly they have what it takes to challenge top opponents.
All in all, my tip is Slovenia +0,75 asian handicap (we win at 1x, we get half our stakes back if Colombia wins by one). Prediction: Slovenia – Colombia 1-1.
Pick: Slovenia (+0,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.07 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.56
Event date: 18 November
