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Tottenham is a 1.25 – 1.30 odds favorite to defeat Aston Villa in this FA Cup tie and Spurs will definitely be confident of advancing after their recent form.
Tottenham caught fire in the last month and has now won 5 consecutive matches in convincing fashion, with a combine goal difference of 15-3. The most prestigious win was in the last match, as Tottenham defeated Chelsea 2-0 at White Hart Lane, ending a run of 13 consecutive victories for Antonio Conte’s side. Spurs are expected to field a strong lineup against Villa, a mix of key players and bench players with few or no youngsters.
Aston Villa had a historically bad season last year in the Premier League, relegating from the last place. It seems that Villa will spend some years in the Championship, with the team being far from impressive this season. The visitors are on the 12th place in the league, lost at Cardiff last week and have been dreadful on the road. Aston Villa scored just 7 goals in 13 away games, winning just 2 of them!
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Tottenham’s only injury worry is Lamela, but Pochettino will rest a few key players like Eriksen, Lloris, Rose, Alderweireld and a few others. Aston Villa will miss their top scorer Kodjia, alongside Jordan Ayew, Richards, Steer and De Laet.
Tottenham: Vorm – Trippier, Dier, Vertonghen, Davies – Winks, Wanyama – Sissoko, Alli, Son – Janssen (Kane)
Aston Villa: Gollini – Hutton, Elphick, Chester, Amavi – Jedinak, Tshibola – Adomah, Cormack, Grealish – Agbonlahor
Tottenham’s winning streak will create a lot of excitement ahead of this match and assure a spirited Spurs performance. Expect Tottenham to be up for this game, doing their best in front of a packed, loud crowd. The only other Cup tie they played at home this season was a 5-0 win over Gillingham, when they treated the game very seriously.
Even with a few key players rested, Spurs will send a very strong team out and that is an indicative of their intentions ahead of this tie. Actually, Aston Villa will miss almost the same number of key players that Spurs will rest. The already poor Villa offense will be badly hurt by the absences of Kodjia and Ayew, both of which have left for the African Cup of Nations. Kodjia scored 9 goals this season, with no other Villa player scoring more than 3.
It is no rule, of course, but upsets in FA Cup usually happen when the underdog is in great form and the favorite is in poor form, or / and if the favorite sends out the youngsters. That is definitely not the case here.
I believe the projected Tottenham lineup is more than strong enough to take care of a shaky Villa side that has struggled on the road all season. There seems to be no indicative of a surprise result in this match. Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 matches by more than 1 goal, so my tip here is Tottenham to cover the 1,25 asian handicap.
Considering the fact that we get half the stakes back if Tottenham wins by 1 goal, I will invest maximum stakes on this bet. Prediction: Tottenham – Aston Villa 3-0.
Pick: Tottenham (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.63 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 6.30
Event date: 8 January
