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The first leg showed a huge difference in quality between the two teams, with Tottenham winning 5-0 away from home and being virtually qualified to the group stages of the Europa League.
The Spurs are a truly great team this year, top 4 material in Premier League for sure. They signed some excellent players in the off season and started the Premiership in brilliant fashion, winning both games against Crystal Palace and Swansea. But this is not too relevant, since Villas Boas will field a lot of reserves today, so basically we will have a new and different Tottenham team for this encounter.
Dinamo Tbilisi are a poor team, they will try to salvage some pride today but they are just miles away from a team like Tottenham. The georgians could consider themselves lucky to have escaped with ‘just’ a 5-0 deficit in the first leg, as they were totally outplayed and the score should have been bigger. Tbilisi is not even in good form, as they were knocked out by Steaua Bucharest in the Champions League 3rd qualifying round and did not play too good in the first 2 rounds of the league.
Regarding team news and lineups, as I said, the hosts will send a lot of reserves on the pitch today – giving chances to a couple of players like Harry Kane and Tom Carroll. First team players like Kaboul, Sandro or Holtby will probably be in the first eleven for the Spurs. Bale and Lennon are surely out, Assou-Ekoto and Adebayour will most likely not take part in the action. Tbilisi will field something close to their best possible first 11.
Expect a mix of fringe players with some first team regulars today from the Spurs, and that should be more than enough for a comfortable home win. Even without their star players, Tottenham is still a much better team than the visitors. Their fringe players are way better than what Dinamo Tbilisi has at their disposal. An important fact is that the reserves will give it their all to impress the manager and earn first team action, so this pretty much eliminates the lack of motivation factor after that 5-0 win in the first leg. Spurs will have an ambitious and motivated team today, so they will try to play good football, prove themselves and win as big as they can.With 4-5 first team regulars to help out, the hosts will be strong.
90 minutes is a long time and with constant pressure from the Spurs, goals will eventually come. At least a 2-3 goal win for Tottenham (or even a bigger scoreline) is more than possible. I have to say again, huge quality gap from all points of view between these two clubs and it is highly unlikely for Tbilisi to be able to withstand Spurs pressure. Not at White Hart Lane, not against a bunch of much better, motivated players.
Pick: Tottenham (-1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.88 @ 10Bet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.92
Event date: 29 August
