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Twente hosts Zwolle in the 27th round of the Dutch Eredivisie, hopping to finally get a win under their belt.
Twente did not win a game since January … 6 matches without a win, first 4 defeats, followed by 2 draws with NAC Breda and Willem II (after erasing a 2 goal handicap). Twente allowed no less than 14 goals in these 6 matches so their defense is in shambles at the moment … but on the bright side they also scored at least once in the last 5 games. The hosts need to find a way to be more secure at the back but it will not be easy vs. the team with the third best attack in the league, Zwolle. For today Twente will not have Bengtsson, Gutierrez and Lachman in the lineup.
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Zwolle finally won 6-1 vs. Cambuur last round after a shocking run of 4 consecutive losses … not even meeting any of the Top 4 sides in the league. Zwolle dropped to the 5th place in the league but is still in a very good position to play for the Europa League places. T. Karagounis, De Boom, Becker and Van Polem will not be in Zwolle’s lineup today.
Twente are 8 points behind the Europa League playoff places and they need to win almost every game from now on if they are to have a chance. I think this desperation, coupled with the very poor form, will not work well vs. Zwolle. The visitors have an amazing season and seem to be back in form with the win last round. They are not so effective on the road (4-1-8) but the odds for them to get a result today are just too good to pass. Twente needs to attack and win, it will not be a good tactic vs. a team that creates chances so easily like Zwolle. The visitors will pound Twente’s horrid defense and get a good result in my opinion … possibly even a win. My tip is Zwolle +0,5 handicap. Correct score prediction: Twente – Zwolle 2-2.
Pick: Zwolle +0,5
Odds: 2.28 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.96
Event date: 14 March
