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Copa Libertadores, 4th round of the group stages. Mexican team UANL Tigres hosts South American giants River Plate. River Plate was one of the favorites to win the title. However, their campaign has been terrible. There is no obvious explanation, they did not lose players, did not lose their coach, maybe just a lack of concentration in some crucial matches.
The situation is like this: Tigres has 10 points, Juan Aurich from Peru has 5 pts, River has 3 pts and San Jose from Bolivia has 3 pts as well. If Juan Aurich wins, and River does not win, they are eliminated.
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Juan Aurich however, plays earlier, so by the time you will read this preview, you will know how the situation is for River. In theory, River plate must reach 2nd place after this round, because in the last round, they have an “easy” game vs San Jose, at home. But if you think that River Plate did not win any game so far … no game is easy. So whatever Juan Aurich does, River must win, so that they are in 2nd position after this round, they must be in pole position before the last round.
I watched River, and i must say they improved a lot since the slow start of the season. They are not that careless in defense, not that uninspired in attack, overall playing pretty good football at the moment. I believe River Plate will win.
River Plate +0 asian handicap is my prediction and I will stake my usual flat stake of 8 units on the pick. Odds are dropping.
Pick: River Plate (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.05 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.40
Event date: 9 April
