Udinese – Catania

Udinese will be 99% free of any relegation worries with a win today, but Catania will come at Friuli desperate for points in what is one of their last attempts to escape the drop.

Even though they are only on the 14th place, Udinese did not have such a bad season. They played pretty good overall, reached the Coppa Italia semifinals, but had a couple of runs of bad form which saw them drop in the table. It`s not the case now, as the hosts are in good shape with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 games, despite a very tough schedule with Inter, Roma or Milan. Udinese is on the back of a 1-1 draw at San Siro against Internazionale and will look to continue the momentum today and build on the 11 point gap that separates them from the relegation zone.

Catania is on the last place in the Serie A, 6 points from safety. While 6 points might not be a gigantic disadvantage, it`s the way Catania is playing that makes it unlikely for them to avoid the drop. The visitors have just one point in the last 6 games and are in chaos right now. Catania is on the back of a 2-4 home defeat to Napoli. The visitors have always been poor on the road, but this season they stretched any imagination with just 2 points in 15 games played away from home (0-2-13) and a goal difference of 7-34 !!! Catania has not won a game on the road since February 2013!

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Lineups

Udinese: Scuffet – Heurtaux, Danilo, Domizzi – Widmer, Badu, Pinzi, Pereyra, Gabriel Silva – Fernandes, Di Natale

Catania: Andujar – Peruzzi, Bellusci, Gyomber, Monzon – Isco, Lodi, Rinaudo, Keko – Bergessio, Barrientos

Catania won 1-0 in Sicily earlier this season, but this time around things are different. I can see Udinese easily winning this one at home. They have been very good so far in 2014 and even more impressive in the last couple of weeks, while Catania is totally out of sorts at the moment. Home court advantage will also have a massive impact on the outcome, considering how poor the visitors are on the road and the fact that Udinese has always been strong at Friuli. Catania lost their last 3 away games by 2 goals. If the hosts will take their chances they should also be able to cover a 1 goal handicap, but I will only go with -1 here for safety reasons. The odds are very good on Udinese to win and are dropping fast. My tip is Udinese -1 asian handicap. Prediction: Udinese – Catania 2-0.

Pick: Udinese (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.42 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 11.36
Event date: 31 March