USA – Germany

A draw would suit both sides here, as Germany would win the group and USA would finish second. Regarding qualification, Germany is out if they lose and Ghana wins by a big margin, while Team USA will be kicked out of the tournament with a loss if the Ghana defeats Portugal (or Portugal defeats Ghana by 4 goals).

I didn’t expect much from USA before the World Cup, thinking they don’t exactly have the same quality like in the past, but I was wrong. Their good pre-World Cup form has translated into the tournament and USA was impressive both in the 2-1 win against Ghana and in the 2-2 draw against Portugal, a match they should have won. The Americans have a very solid offensive setup with Clint Dempsey leading the line and have scored 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches.

After the 4-0 win against Portugal, the Panzerz were held to a 2-2 draw by Ghana, but the level of play was very good from the Germans throughout the match and the result can’t take anything away from them. Ghana played a fantastic match as well, it was very nice to watch. Germany is a team in form and their attack has been simply brilliant lately, I don`t think they will settle for a draw against USA.

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Team news & lineups

No injuries or suspensions for either side ahead of this encounter.

USA: Howard – Johnson, Cameron, Besler, Beasley – Beckerman, Jones – Bedoya, Bradley, Zusi – Dempsey

Germany: Neuer – Howedes, Hummels, Mertesacker, Lahm – Schweinsteiger, Khedira – Özil, Kroos, Götze – Müller

I reckon the odds for an over 2,5 bet would have been around 1.50 here if it wasn`t for the draw that would suit both sides. However, I doubt this will play out like a ‘vacation’ match, with these two attacking sides passing it around for an anti climaxing 0-0. I expect nothing less from Germany than to go for the win, and in these circumstances we should see a lot of breaks, counters and inevitably goal scoring chances. Both sides are excellent up front while USA is a little bit shaky at the back. The two teams met in a friendly late last year and it was a 4-3 win for USA, there could have even been more goals scored. My tip is over 2,5 and I expect Germany to win as well. Prediction: USA – Germany 1-3.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.83 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.47
Event date: 26 June