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Villarreal hosts Getafe in the first leg of this Copa del Rey quarterfinal. The winner of the tie will go on to face Barcelona or Atletico Madrid in the semifinals.
Hosts are coming fresh off a 2-0 win at home vs. Athletic Bilbao … the 15th consecutive match in which Villarreal did not lose. Obviously the Yellow Submarine is in fantastic form and they will look to build on their home record, which is even more impressive … 5 consecutive wins without allowing a single goal! Villarreal will try to continue the run, knowing how particularly important is to keep a clean sheet at home in a two legged Cup tie. Look for the hosts to field their best lineup and treat this game with maximum attention.
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Getafe is not doing so well lately since coach Cosmin Contra left the club … and even before that. Quique Sanchez Flores took over but the statistics are telling the story for Getafe: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 6 games and most of the matches were against weak opposition. Offense is a big problem for Getafe and so has been their away record this season. Visitors are coming after a 0-3 home defeat to Real Madrid but they are expected to field a similar lineup to the one they sent to face Real.
There is no question that Villarreal is a big favorite today and I am confident they will deliver … the Yellow Submarine is just too strong at home and has so much more quality than Getafe, who is in shambles at the moment. I could also say that the visitors will be more focused on the league where they are threatened with relegation … but they play on Monday and Villarreal on Saturday, so that evens things out from this perspective. My first thought was a Villarreal win with handicap but with this being a cup game and considering how well the hosts are defending, my tip will be Villarreal to win to nil. I think it is a smarter bet than the handicap. Correct score prediction: Villarreal – Getafe 2-0.
Pick: Villarreal to win to nil
Odds: 1.95 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.6
Event date: 21 January
