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Qualification on the table, as Vitoria Guimaraes takes on Rheindorf Altach in the 3rd Europa League qualifying round, with the Austrians winning 2-1 at home.
Vitoria Guimaraes is a solid side, clearly established as a Top 5 team in Portugal, but that did not help them in the first leg. Despite having more chances overall, Guimaraes was unable do dominate possession and fell to a 2-1 defeat, arguably making them outsiders for qualification. It`s likely that Guimaraes suffered from lack of competitive matches, as the Portugese league is a long way from starting, but they will hope now, with one match under their belt, they will step up their game.
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Altach’s 3rd place finish last year in Austria was surprising and rather undeserved, as Sturm Grass (who finished 4th) was a better team than them troughout the season. Altach does not have too much quality in its ranks and things are starting to go downhill this season, with today`s visitors losing both Bundesliga games played so far – against Grodig and Austria Wien. Even so, they will hope that the first leg advantage will be enough to overcome Guimaraes in Portugal.
The hosts probably deserved at least a draw in Austria, even though they were not at their best. Now, playing at home and having an official match under their belts, I believe Guimaraes will be able to seal the deal. They have some European experience and have big expectations from the Europa League, while Altach is a rather modest side in poor form. Judging ont he quality difference and what we saw in the first leg, Guimaraes is the team to bet here, no doubt about that.
My tip is a Vitoria Guimaraes win with a 1 goal asian handicap. A simple bet that should provide some decent profit at solid odds by Pinnacle. Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes – Rheindorf Altach 2-0.
Pick: Guimaraes (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.06 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.42
Event date: 6 August
