West Brom – Burnley

West Bromwich Albion will host Burnley in the Premier League, with the hosts being desperate for a win in the race against relegation.

West Brom is dead last in the standings, 10 points away from safety and having an extra game played compared to most of their rivals. With just 7 matches left to play, the hosts are in a desperate situation and absolutely need a win in this clash if they are to hope for salvation. Unfortunately for WBA, their form is abysmal at the moment. They have been a disaster under Alan Pardew and have have lost their previous 8 games in all competitions.

Burnley might be the most pleasant surprise of this Premier League season, with Sean Dyche`s side sitting on the 7th place in the standings, just 5 points behind the sixth placed Arsenal. The visitors went trough a run of bad form at the beginning of the year, but recent got their act together and won the last two matches they played. Last time out Burnley defeated another desperate side, West Ham, 3-0 on the road.

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Team news & lineups:

West Brom will continue to be without Chadli, Sturridge, Morrison and Barry (although Barry has a small chance to play). Burnley won`t be able to count on Brady, Walters and Defour, while Heaton and Arfield are doubtful.

West Bromwich Albion: Foster – Dawson, Evans, Hegazi – Nyom, Livermore, Yacob, Brunt, Gibbs – Rodriguez, Rondon

Burnley: Pope – Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Ward – Lennon, Cork, Hendrick, Gudmundsson – Wood, Barnes

Burnley has played good football for most of this season, their main strength being their discipline and tactical consistency. These qualities seem to be exactly what Burnley would need to beat a desperate, chaotic team like West Brom is right now.

Burnley had a similar matchup last time out, when they beat West Ham United 3-0 at the Olympic Stadium in London. A similar game plan could work in a similar way here.

West Brom will be desperate for the three points, they will have to take risks, and a well organized, disciplined team like Burnley can take advantage – especially as they are very able on counterattacks. Burnley also has the 4th best defense in the entire league and meets a WBA team which owns the worst offense in the league. That has to be good news for Burnley in terms of matchup.

One thing that is in favor of West Brom coming into this match is the H2H. Since Burnley got promoted in 2014, there have been 5 meetings: 3 WBA wins and 2 draws. However, the situation is completely different right now, so history shouldn`t play such a big part. Even earlier this season back in November, when WBA won 1-0 at Burnley, WBA was playing much better.

The visitors are a much better team than West Brom this season, and they are in much better form right now. Also taking into account the fact that the matchup seems very favorable to them, a bet on Burnley not to lose seems to make sense. As such, my tip here will be Burnley to cover the +0,5 handicap. Prediction: West Brom – Burnley 0-1.

Pick: Burnley +0,5
Odds: 1.56 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.48
Event date: 31 March