Monday night football in the Premier League, with West Bromwich Albion taking on the inconsistent Manchester United in the last game of the round.
West Brom didn`t quite have the best start to the season, sitting just above the relegation zone on the 15th place, but there are a couple of positives for the home sides: they were on a 3 match winning streak before barely losing 2-1 at Anfield last round, they lost just 1 game at home and most notably they are playing very well defensively, only conceding 9 goals so far – which makes for the 4th best defense in the Premier League. On the other side, WBA is struggling to score, they netted just 8 times this season, 4 of those goals coming against Burnley.
We all know that United is struggling to find its rhythm under Louis van Gaal – looking at the table you might feel that the 5th place is not too bad, but United had a very easy draw and their wins were not impressive. The Devils however seem to be slightly improving at the moment, winning the last two matches, including a 2-1 success over Everton last round – their best result this campaign, but the level of football was not great and Everton should have got a draw there. United will look for their first road win of the season today.
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Team news & lineups
WBA will miss Anichebe and Yacob, with Brunt and Ideye doubtful. United will have to do without Rooney, Evans, Valencia, McNair, Lingaard and possibly Herrera.
West Brom: Foster – Wisdom, Lescott, Dawson, Pocognoli – Morrison, Dorrans, Gardner, Brunt – Sessegnon, Berahino.
Manchester United: De Gea – Rafael, Jones, Rojo, Shaw – Blind – Young, Mata, Di MarΓa – Falcao, Van Persie.
My first instinct was to bet a 1x result here based on United`s inconsistency and the fact that I do not believe in Van Gaal`s style of play for the Premier League. However, after the analysis I will pick Manchester United to win this. They have played better in the last two matches and a very important fact is that they are healthier than ever ahead of this game, which should make a difference (Rooney missing will be a big blow, but he`s the only important absentee). United`s weakness is the defense, but WBA is so bad offensively that the visitors might actually keep a clean sheet. West Brom is not a team to produce an upset right now as far as I`m concerned, they are not playing good football and I expect United to win at least based on individual talent, but maybe they will actually play a good team game as well.
My tip is United to win, the odds are slightly dropping on this bet. Prediction: West Bromwich Albion – Manchester United 0-2.
Pick: Manchester United
Odds: 1.75 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6
Event date: 20 October