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Wolfsburg will look to win consecutive games for the first time this season, but Augsburg will come at Volkswagen Arena ready to fight and confident in their abilities to produce the upset.
An analysis of Wolfsburg is pretty simple to make, we are talking about a team with very good pottential and great attacking strength, but at the same time the hosts are extremely inconsistent and very dependent to the form of their key guys like Benaglio, De Bruyne or Olic. For this reason Wolfsburg is just on the 10th place in Bundesliga, but on the bright side the team has won the last two home games against Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, though last round against Werder was a struggle. The hosts were held to a 1-1 home draw by Lille midweek in the Europa League.
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Augsburg has 3 wins and 3 losses so far this season, but their losses came in the first round against Hoffenheim, then against Leverkusen and Dortmund, so you can`t really judge the visitors too hard. Augsburg is a great team, able to counterattack and produce upsets and they are in excellent form as well, winning 3 of the last 4 matches – including a 1-0 win over Hertha last round. Augsburg is generally a traditional home team, but they played decent on the road so far this season.
Team news: Wolfsburg will have to do without Ochs, Lopes and Seguin, while Augsburg won`t be able to count on Reinhardt, Moravek and Molders.
I reckon there`s some good value in the odds on Augsburg here, the 1.75 price for a Wolfsburg win is just too low. The hosts might have better talent and the home court advantage is important against Augsburg, but the visitors are the more consistent and better organized side, they are in excellent form and an analysis will also show they have the proper counterattacking qualities to punish a team like Wolfsburg. The midweek game against Lille might also hurt Wolfsburg a bit fitness wise, so the value is on the visitors to cover a 0,5 handicap (x2). The Wolfsburg win is far from safe here – I`ll go with medium-high stakes on this bet and note that the odds are dropping fast – my tip is Augsburg +0,5 handicap. Prediction: Wolfsburg – Augsburg 1-1.
Pick: Augsbug (+0,5)
Odds: 2.18 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 8.26
Event date: 5 October
damn ,where in the hell you find this matches mate. i really trusted in your judgment latelly.but i see the situation is going from bad to worse
and now juventus….5 goals .really?
and now dinamo
What can I say, again I start the month like sh*t and I will have to work very hard to recover. Hopefully I will be able to do it again. In my defense before Saturday I had +85 units in two weeks, but this has been a weekend for the record books, I was absolutely horrible.
I really can`t say anything to make things better. I`m gutted with my record and form this weekend.