Wolfsburg hosts Bayer Leverkusen in Round 4 of Bundesliga. Both teams are on the back off tough losses.
Wolfsburg was totally outplayed by Everton and lost 4-1 in England in the Europa League … again the defense was the Achilles Heel for Wolfsburg. Hosts allowed at least a goal in the 4 matches they played this season and even if the offense managed to compensate, Wolfsburg still did not win a match in this campaign. True, this is also because they met good teams, including Bayern in the first round where they lost 2-1. Lopes, Perisic, Trasch, Guilavogui and Ochs will not play for Wolfsburg in this match.
Wolfsburg lineup: Benaglio – Jung, Naldo, Knoche, Rodriguez – Gustavo, Malanga – Caligiuri, Arnold, de Bruyne – Olic
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After a truly amazing start of the season with big wins and lots of goals scored Leverkusen has not won any of the 2 games … 3-3 vs. Werder at home and 0-1 at Monaco in UCL. But even so Leverkusen is still playing top football and was unlucky not to win those games, they had many huge chances vs. Monaco from all positions but missed them and it ended up costing them. Rolfes and Brandt will miss again for Bayer but for today also Papadopoulos and possibly Toprak will miss from the lineup, so serious trouble in defense for the visitors.
Leverkusen lineup: Leno – Jedvaj, Spahic, Donati, Boenisch – Bellarabi, Bender, Castro – Son, Kiessling, Calhanoglu
I will bet on over 3 goals to be scored not only because of statistics and because these teams score a lot, but because that is a consequence of the style of play … Wolfsburg and Leverkusen go all out attack and it will be an insane rhythm today and it is impossible not to have a lot of goal scoring chances. Expect fast paced football for both teams, both will go for the win after not so good results lately and I just can’t see this ending with less than 3 goals. I expect 4 or more though … my tip will be over 3 goals, quite simple bet and it should be void in the worst case scenario. Last season both meetings ended 3-1 for the home team. Correct score prediction: Wolfsburg – Bayer Leverkusen 2-3.
Pick: over 3 goals
Odds: 1.93 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.37
Event date: 21 September