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Wolfsburg will try to protect a 3-2 advantage, gained in the first leg, when they take on Belgian champions Gent in the Champions League round of Last 16.
After an uninspired domestic season and a poor start to 2016, Wolfsburg finally picked it up and started playing the football they are capable of. In the last 6 matches, Wolfsburg has 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. The draw was away at third placed Hertha, while the loss was at home to Bayern in a match in which Wolfsburg played really, really well and deserved at least a point. These last 6 matches were excellent for today’s hosts, they put on consistent performances and did not play a poor game. Wolfsburg is on the back of two solid wins, 4-0 against rivals Hannover and 2-1 against Gladbach.
Gent’s qualification from the group stage over Lyon and Valencia was a marvelous achievement for the Belgians, even if they were lucky with a perfect schedule and a few late goals. Unfortunately for Gent, their form disappeared just when they needed it the most. 2016 has been poor so far, with the visitors winning just 2 of the last 7 games in all competitions, losing 4 times. They also lost the last three matches played away from home. Gent is on the back of a disappointing 1-1 home draw against Leuven, which put a huge dent in their title chances.
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Team news & lineups:
Wolfsburg will have to do without Dost, Jung, Seguin and Naldo, while Bendtner and Benaglio are doubtful. The hosts have played without these guys lately, so it should not be a problem. Gent won’t have Van Der Bruggen, Wikheim and Olayinka in the lineup.
VFL Wolfsburg: Casteels – Trasch, Knoche, Dante, Rodriguez – Gustavo, Guilavogui – Caligiuri, Draxler, Schurrle – Kruse
KAA Gent: Sels – Nielsen, Mitrovic, Asare – Kums, Neto – Foket, Milicevic, Dejaegere, Simon – Coulibaly
Gent almost mounted a superb comeback in the first leg, as they were led 0-3 but managed to score twice in the last 10 minutes. However, Wolfsburg proved to be the more mature team in that game and is now has an excellent chance to close the deal.
The hosts do not need a win here, actually they can very well qualify even with a 1 goal loss. Nevertheless, I trust them to finish the job in a professional manner and win this game as well. They are definitely the better and more experienced team, they are playing some excellent football lately, while Gent is in a bad spot right now. The visitors will need to attack and leave open spaces, especially in the last 30 minutes or so, if the score is still tight. This should allow the brilliant offense of Wolfsburg to create plenty of opportunities.
My tip is as simple as it could get: Wolfsburg to win. A bet on goals also seems logical, but I`m not sure Gent will score, so a win for the home side feels much safer as far as I`m concerned. Odds are dropping big time on this bet. Prediction: Wolfsburg – Gent 2-0.
Pick: Wolfsburg
Odds: 1.53 @ 1xBet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 4.77
Event date: 8 March
